Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings Toss Prediction (MI vs PBKS)
Our toss call
From our match preview
We expect the toss winner to field.
✓ Decision called · Punjab Kings elected to field
Toss result
Punjab Kings won the toss and chose to bowl.
Mumbai Indians bat first
Stamped 7 May, 14:15 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Punjab Kings won by 7 wickets (with 21 balls remaining) ✗ match-winner prediction wrong
From our match preview
The toss winner will bowl first. Dew makes defending 180+ extremely difficult under lights.
🏟️ What the toss means at Wankhede Stadium
The toss went Punjab Kings's way — they chose to field, so Punjab Kings chase. In this branch our model makes Mumbai Indians 47.5% — fair odds 2.11 (PBKS 1.90) against a pre-toss baseline of 51.5%.
How we made this Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss tracking approach.
Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings match preview.
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MI vs PBKS toss prediction FAQ
Who won the MI vs PBKS toss?
Punjab Kings won the MI vs PBKS toss and chose to field first.
What did the toss winner choose in MI vs PBKS?
Punjab Kings chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.
How does the toss affect the MI vs PBKS match odds?
Meaningfully. Wankhede Stadium favours chasing (teams batting second win 54% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.
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