Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Toss Prediction (PAK vs SL)

Saturday, 28 February 2026 · 19:00 IST · Pallekele International Cricket Stadium · T20 WC

Last updated: 7 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Pakistan vs Sri Lanka match preview on 26 February 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "Bowl first. The surface deteriorates as the match progresses, making batting harder in the first innings. Dew assists the chasing side by reducing grip for spinners. Both captains are likely to field first if they win the toss"

What happened

Sri Lanka elected to field

Stamped 7 May, 20:01 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Pakistan won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Pallekele International Cricket Stadium

Toss impact: Moderate bat-first ground — chases succeed only 46% of the time here

The toss went Sri Lanka's way — they chose to field, so Sri Lanka chase. In this branch our model makes Pakistan 54.0% — fair odds 1.85 (SL 2.17) against a pre-toss baseline of 52.0%.

How we made this Pakistan vs Sri Lanka toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how the toss call is built.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for PAK vs SL: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Pakistan vs Sri Lanka prediction →

PAK vs SL toss prediction FAQ

Who won the PAK vs SL toss?

Sri Lanka won the PAK vs SL toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in PAK vs SL?

Sri Lanka chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the PAK vs SL match odds?

Meaningfully. Pallekele International Cricket Stadium favours batting first (chases succeed only 46% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 2 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →