Qatar vs Thailand Toss Prediction
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Sub Regional Qualifier A 2026 · 4th Match · Tuesday, 6 October 2026 · 01:15 UTC (09:15 local) · 06:45 IST · Bayuemas Oval, Kuala Lumpur
Toss prediction from ground record, toss habits and start time
What will the toss winner choose?
Bat first · 54% bat-first
Close call, leaning bat first — a daytime start means no dew, so fewer captains choose to chase. Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bats first at 54%.
- Based on
- Ground record, toss habits and start time
- Tosses at this ground
- 74
- Chose to field
- 51.4%
- Period
- 2023–2026
Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.
What we looked at
- Captains bowl first here. 38 of 74 toss winners have fielded at Bayuemas Oval since 2023 (51%).(points to bowling first)
- Both sides like to bowl first. Qatar have fielded in 7 of their last 10 tosses won; Thailand have fielded in 7 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to bowling first)
- No dew. Daytime start (09:15 local): conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
- Cloud cover. 98% cloud at the start helps the new ball.(points to bowling first)
- Chasing wins about half the time here (36 of 70).(points neither way)
- Our call: bat first — 54%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to batting first)
Cyan dots point to bowling first, amber to batting first, grey to neither.
Last 10 tosses at Bayuemas Oval
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Malaysia | Field | United Arab Emirates | No |
| 2026-09-16 | Malaysia | Bat | United Arab Emirates | Yes |
| 2026-09-14 | Malaysia | Bat | United Arab Emirates | Yes |
| 2026-05-05 | Indonesia | Bat | Malaysia | Yes |
| 2026-05-04 | Malaysia | Bat | Malaysia | No |
| 2026-05-02 | Indonesia | Field | Malaysia | No |
| 2026-05-01 | Malaysia | Field | Malaysia | Yes |
| 2026-03-10 | Malaysia | Bat | Bahrain | Yes |
| 2026-03-08 | Bahrain | Bat | Bahrain | No |
| 2026-03-07 | Malaysia | Bat | Malaysia | No |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
What each side tends to do
Qatar have chosen to field in 23 of the 30 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 8 field).
Thailand have chosen to field in 16 of the 28 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 7 field).
Part of our call: it weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time.
Does the toss matter at Bayuemas Oval?
In 70 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 36 (51.4%).
Start: 01:15 UTC · 09:15 local time (day match).
Forecast at the start: 26°C · humidity 86% · overcast
Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-10-04 03:07 UTC.
How this QAT vs THAI toss prediction is made
We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. For this match our call weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time.
Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.
Full method, dew and captaincy context: the venue pattern model.
QAT vs THAI toss prediction FAQ
What is the QAT vs THAI toss prediction?
Close call, leaning bat first — a daytime start means no dew, so fewer captains choose to chase. Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bats first at 54%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.
Does winning the toss matter at Bayuemas Oval?
In 70 decided men's T20 matches at Bayuemas Oval in our data, the side batting second won 36 (51.4%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.
How is this toss prediction made?
We weigh three things: how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss (recent seasons count most), and the start time — an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.
What happened at the toss?
The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.
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More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →
Last updated: 2026-10-04. Published 2026-10-04.
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