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Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Mumbai Indians Toss Prediction (RCB vs MI)

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Sunday, 10 May 2026 · 19:30 IST · Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium · IPL

Toss prediction page launched 10 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Mumbai Indians match preview on 28 March 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called
Our predicted decision
field first
From the article: "Toss winner should bowl first in almost every realistic scenario."
What happened
Royal Challengers Bengaluru elected to field
Stamped 10 May, 20:05 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Royal Challengers Bengaluru won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium

Toss impact: HIGH chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 67% here

The toss went Royal Challengers Bengaluru's way — they chose to field, so Royal Challengers Bengaluru chase. In this branch our model makes Royal Challengers Bengaluru 65.0% — fair odds 1.54 (MI 2.86) against a pre-toss baseline of 56.0%.

How we made this Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Mumbai Indians toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the venue field-first method.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for RCB vs MI: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Mumbai Indians prediction →

RCB vs MI toss prediction FAQ

Who won the RCB vs MI toss?

Royal Challengers Bengaluru won the RCB vs MI toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in RCB vs MI?

Royal Challengers Bengaluru chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the RCB vs MI match odds?

Meaningfully. Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium favours chasing (teams batting second win 67% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 9 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →