United States vs Netherlands Toss Prediction (USA vs NED)

Friday, 13 February 2026 · 19:00 IST · MA Chidambaram Stadium · T20 WC

Last updated: 7 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our United States vs Netherlands match preview on 6 February 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "The captain winning the toss should bowl first. Dew is expected under lights at MA Chidambaram Stadium, which makes chasing significantly easier by reducing spin grip and helping the ball skid through."

What happened

Netherlands elected to field

Stamped 7 May, 20:01 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Netherlands won the match ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

🏟️ What the toss means at MA Chidambaram Stadium

Toss impact: HIGH bat-first ground — chases succeed only 44% of the time here

The toss went Netherlands's way — they chose to field, so Netherlands chase. In this branch our model makes United States 46.8% — fair odds 2.14 (NED 1.88) against a pre-toss baseline of 44.8%.

How we made this United States vs Netherlands toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the data behind our toss calls.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for USA vs NED: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full United States vs Netherlands prediction →

USA vs NED toss prediction FAQ

Who won the USA vs NED toss?

Netherlands won the USA vs NED toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in USA vs NED?

Netherlands chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the USA vs NED match odds?

Meaningfully. MA Chidambaram Stadium favours batting first (chases succeed only 44% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 2 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →