West Indies vs Italy Toss Prediction (WI vs ITA)

Thursday, 19 February 2026 · 11:00 IST · Eden Gardens · T20 WC

Last updated: 7 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our West Indies vs Italy match preview on 6 February 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✗ Decision missed

Our predicted decision

bat first

From the article: "Toss: Bat first. Without the dew factor in this day match, batting first allows the team to set a total on a good batting surface."

What happened

Italy elected to field

Stamped 7 May, 20:01 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

West Indies won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Eden Gardens

Toss impact: HIGH chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 59% here

The toss went Italy's way — they chose to field, so Italy chase. In this branch our model makes West Indies 86.6% — fair odds 1.15 (ITA 7.46) against a pre-toss baseline of 92.6%.

How we made this West Indies vs Italy toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we read captain decisions.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for WI vs ITA: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full West Indies vs Italy prediction →

WI vs ITA toss prediction FAQ

Who won the WI vs ITA toss?

Italy won the WI vs ITA toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in WI vs ITA?

Italy chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain went the other way.

How does the toss affect the WI vs ITA match odds?

Meaningfully. Eden Gardens favours chasing (teams batting second win 59% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 6 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →