Western Province vs South Africa Emerging Players Toss Prediction

CSA T20 Challenge 2026 · Pool B · Sunday, 4 October 2026 · 16:00 UTC (18:00 local) · 21:30 IST · Newlands, Cape Town

Toss prediction from ground record, start time and tournament so far

What will the toss winner choose?

Bowl first · 61% field-first

Bowl first — an evening start brings dew into the second innings. Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 61%.

Based on: Ground record, start time and tournament so far
Tosses at this ground: 28
Chose to field: 50.0%
Period: 2007–2020

Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.

What we looked at

Bowl first 61% Bat first 39%

Split at this ground. 14 of 28 toss winners have fielded at Newlands in 2007–2020.(points neither way)
No dew expected. Evening start (18:00 local) in dry air (38% humidity): conditions hold for both innings.(points neither way)
Forecast: 24°C · humidity 38% · partly cloudy.(points neither way)
Chasing wins here. 16 of 26 decided men's T20 matches went to the side batting second (61.5%).(points to bowling first)
Our call: bowl first — 61%. Weighs this ground's toss record, the start time and this tournament's tosses so far. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, amber to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 10 tosses at Newlands

Date	Toss winner	Chose	Match winner	Chased?
2020-12-01	South Africa	Bat	England	Yes
2020-11-27	England	Field	England	Yes
2020-02-26	South Africa	Field	Australia	No
2019-03-19	South Africa	Field	No result	—
2019-02-01	Pakistan	Field	South Africa	No
2018-02-24	South Africa	Field	India	No
2017-01-25	South Africa	Bat	Sri Lanka	Yes
2016-03-09	South Africa	Bat	Australia	Yes
2016-02-19	South Africa	Field	South Africa	Yes
2015-01-09	South Africa	Bat	West Indies	Yes

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

Does the toss matter at Newlands?

In 26 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 16 (61.5%).

Start: 16:00 UTC · 18:00 local time (evening match).

Forecast at the start: 24°C · humidity 38% · partly cloudy

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-10-02 18:07 UTC.

How this WP vs SAEP toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. For this match our call weighs this ground's toss record, the start time and this tournament's tosses so far.

Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.

Full method, dew and captaincy context: how the toss call is built.

WP vs SAEP toss prediction FAQ

What is the WP vs SAEP toss prediction?

Bowl first — an evening start brings dew into the second innings. Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 61%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Newlands?

In 26 decided men's T20 matches at Newlands in our data, the side batting second won 16 (61.5%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

We weigh three things: how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss (recent seasons count most), and the start time — an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →

Last updated: 2026-10-02. Published 2026-10-02.

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