Warriors vs Lions Toss Prediction

CSA T20 Challenge 2026 · Pool A · Sunday, 4 October 2026 · 16:00 UTC (18:00 local) · 21:30 IST · St George's Park, Gqeberha

Toss prediction from ground record, start time and tournament so far

What will the toss winner choose?

Bowl first · 62% field-first

Bowl first — an evening start brings dew into the second innings. Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 62%.

Based on: Ground record, start time and tournament so far
Tosses at this ground: 12
Chose to field: 25.0%
Period: 2007–2024

Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.

What we looked at

Bowl first 62% Bat first 38%

Captains bat first here. 9 of 12 toss winners have batted at St George's Park in 2007–2024 (75%).(points to batting first)
Dew is coming. Evening start (18:00 local) with 82% humidity: the ball gets harder to grip in the second innings, so bowl first and chase.(points to bowling first)
Forecast: 18°C · humidity 82% · clear skies · windy.(points neither way)
Chasing wins here. 7 of 12 decided men's T20 matches went to the side batting second (58.3%).(points to bowling first)
Our call: bowl first — 62%. Weighs this ground's toss record, the start time and this tournament's tosses so far. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, amber to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 10 tosses at St George's Park

Date	Toss winner	Chose	Match winner	Chased?
2024-11-10	South Africa	Field	South Africa	Yes
2023-12-12	South Africa	Field	South Africa	Yes
2020-02-23	South Africa	Bat	South Africa	No
2012-12-26	South Africa	Bat	South Africa	No
2009-05-16	Mumbai Indians	Bat	Chennai Super Kings	Yes
2009-05-10	Mumbai Indians	Bat	Mumbai Indians	No
2009-05-03	Kolkata Knight Riders	Bat	Kings XI Punjab	Yes
2009-05-02	Deccan Chargers	Bat	Rajasthan Royals	Yes
2009-04-27	Mumbai Indians	Bat	Mumbai Indians	No
2009-04-26	Royal Challengers Bangalore	Bat	Delhi Daredevils	Yes

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

Does the toss matter at St George's Park?

In 12 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 7 (58.3%).

Start: 16:00 UTC · 18:00 local time (evening match).

Forecast at the start: 18°C · humidity 82% · clear skies · windy

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-10-02 18:07 UTC.

How this WRS vs LIO toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. For this match our call weighs this ground's toss record, the start time and this tournament's tosses so far.

Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.

Full method, dew and captaincy context: our toss prediction model.

WRS vs LIO toss prediction FAQ

What is the WRS vs LIO toss prediction?

Bowl first — an evening start brings dew into the second innings. Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 62%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at St George's Park?

In 12 decided men's T20 matches at St George's Park in our data, the side batting second won 7 (58.3%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

We weigh three things: how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss (recent seasons count most), and the start time — an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →

Last updated: 2026-10-02. Published 2026-10-02.

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