NMS Ahmedabad IPL Betting Guide
Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad · Capacity: 132,000
Last updated: 15 March 2026 · By CricketPrediction.com
The anti-chase venue. Everything about NMS says bat first. Chase win rate of 25% in 2025 (lowest in IPL), toss winners batting first 60% of the time, average first innings of 219, and crucially NO DEW. This is the only IPL venue where batting first is overwhelmingly preferred. For totals betting: overs hit almost every time. First innings scores of 200+ are common. If the toss winner bats, back them heavily.
219
Avg 1st Innings
25%
Chase Win Rate
40%
Toss → Field
—
Our Accuracy Here
Key Betting Fact
BAT FIRST. Chase win rate of 25% is the LOWEST at any IPL venue in 2025. No dew + massive first innings totals (avg 219) = defend everything. Toss winners bat first 60% of the time — the opposite of most IPL venues.
Pitch Character
In 2025, NMS produced absolute road pitches for the playoffs. Average first innings of 219 in 2025 playoff matches. The surface is flat with no assistance for bowlers. However, the lack of dew makes defending these big totals viable.
Batting Conditions
NMS produced run feasts in 2025 — average first innings of 219 is the highest at any IPL venue that season. The rebuilt surface is a true batting paradise: even bounce, no lateral movement, and the ball comes onto the bat. IPL 2025 Final saw RCB post 287/3. The large 65-70m boundaries do not seem to suppress scoring because the pitch is so flat. Powerplay and death-over scoring rates are both above IPL average.
Highest Total
287/3 (RCB vs PBKS, IPL 2025 Final)
Lowest Total
125 (GT vs MI, 2024)
Bowling Conditions
Brutal for bowlers. Spin economy 10.3, pace economy 10.8 — both among the highest in IPL. Nothing in the pitch helps. The best bowling strategy is variation and yorkers. Death bowling with pace is slightly more effective than spin because the ball does not grip. Bowlers who rely on natural assistance from the surface will be punished.
Spin Economy
10.3
Pace Economy
10.8
Try It: Pitch Simulator
Switch between pace, spin, and slower deliveries to see how NMS Ahmedabad's flat surface affects what the ball does. Drag the dew slider to see how evening moisture changes conditions. Each metric links directly to specific betting markets.
Pitch Simulator
NMS Ahmedabad · Flat Deck · 65-70m
Bounce Height
2.20m
Head height
Movement
Seam
Off the pitch
Speed Retained
80%
Skids on
Pace carries through at chest height. True bounce surface. Keeper and slips in play. Speed retention 80%.
Toss Impact
This is the most unusual toss venue in IPL. Winners BAT FIRST 60% of the time — the highest bat-first rate in the league. Why? No dew means bowling second is not harder. And on a flat pitch, putting 220+ on the board and defending with dot-ball pressure is the winning formula. Chase win rate of 25% validates this emphatically.
Dew Factor
Low. Ahmedabad's dry climate means minimal dew. The outfield stays firm and does not quicken significantly in the second innings. This is a major reason why chasing is harder here.
Ground Dimensions
Boundary size: 65-70m
Tonight's Dew Impact
Pre-loaded with typical Ahmedabad evening conditions. Adjust to tonight's forecast for a venue-specific betting recommendation.
Dew Impact Calculator
Pre-set for NMS Ahmedabad evening conditions
Dew Point
18.0°C
Spread
12.0°C
Dew Risk
LOW
Chase Prob
25%
NMS Ahmedabad Betting Recommendation
LOW dew risk reinforces NMS Ahmedabad's bat-first advantage. Chase win rate stays at 25%. Toss winner should bat first here. Back the batting team.
Dew point: Td = T − (100−RH)/5. Chase adjustment: HIGH +8%, MODERATE +4%, LOW +0% applied to venue's historical 25% chase rate. Adjust sliders to tonight's weather forecast. Full toss prediction guide →
Top betting promotions
IPL 2026 at NMS Ahmedabad
🏏 IPL 2026 starts March 28
Match results and our prediction accuracy at NMS Ahmedabad will appear here as the season progresses.
GT team preview →Frequently Asked Questions
What is the average score at Narendra Modi Stadium in IPL?
Average first innings score was 219 in 2025 playoffs — the highest at any IPL venue that season. Even regular-season matches average above 195. This is a flat batting paradise.
Is it better to bat first or chase at Ahmedabad?
Bat first — emphatically. Chase win rate is just 25% (lowest in IPL). Toss winners bat first 60% of the time. No dew means bowling second is not easier. Post 220+ and defend.
Why is chasing so hard at Narendra Modi Stadium?
Two reasons: no dew (Ahmedabad's dry climate) and massive first innings totals (avg 219). Without dew to help the chasing side, and with 220+ to chase, the pressure becomes overwhelming.
Does the toss matter at Ahmedabad?
Hugely — but in the opposite direction to most IPL venues. Toss winners bat first 60% of the time (most venues: field first). Winning the toss and batting = roughly 75% win rate.
What is par score at Narendra Modi Stadium?
Par score is 210-220 in recent IPL matches. Anything below 200 is below par. Even 200 is chaseable. Above 230 is almost indefensible — but also almost unchasceable.
Is the Narendra Modi Stadium pitch always this flat?
The 2020 rebuild changed everything. Before rebuilding, the pitch offered more for bowlers. Since 2022, it has been consistently flat. The groundsmen can prepare slightly different surfaces, but the baseline remains batting-friendly.
How does Gujarat Titans perform at home?
GT's home record has been mixed. They won the 2022 title partly through home dominance, but the flat pitch means both teams benefit equally. Home advantage here is about batting conditions, not pitch knowledge. The team that wins the toss and bats first has the bigger advantage.
Other IPL Venues
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