Indian Premier League
Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Match Result & Analysis
GT Gujarat Titans
RR Rajasthan Royals
Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
Our pre-match prediction 🎯 12/24 IPL predictions correct📝 Pre-Match Key Takeaways
- • Gujarat Titans predicted to win with 55% probability — H2H dominance at Motera is the primary driver
- • Motera is one of IPL's highest-scoring venues: avg 219 first innings in 2025, 11 totals over 200
- • Jos Buttler has scored 242 runs at this ground including 106* (2022) and 97* (2025) — he knows every blade of grass
- • Sooryavanshi's 101 off 38 against GT in 2025 means he's not fazed by this bowling attack
- • Rashid Khan had his worst IPL season in 2025 (9 wkts, 9.35 economy) — form is a concern
- • If RR bat first: GT at 1.90 offers +7.4% edge. Pre-toss: skip or lean GT only.
Rajasthan Royals won by 6 runs
We predicted Gujarat Titans at 55%
How our prediction shifts based on batting order. Plan your bet before the toss.
- Jaiswal fires in the powerplay (60+ off 30) — RR's ceiling rises past 200
- GT's middle order collapses again (went from 84/2 to 162 against PBKS)
- Heavy dew + RR chase = Rashid Khan completely neutralised in death overs
- Rashid gets Sooryavanshi early — removes RR's biggest match-winner from the equation
Can GT Bounce Back at Fortress Motera?
Gujarat Titans lost their opener to Punjab Kings by 3 wickets in Chandigarh. They posted 162/6 — Gill made 39 off 27 and Buttler contributed 38 — but Cooper Connolly's unbeaten 72 off 44 on debut took the game away. The middle order went from 84/2 to a position where PBKS chased it in 19.1 overs. That was away. This is home. And "home" for Gujarat Titans means something specific. Shubman Gill has scored 1,109 runs in 23 innings at Narendra Modi Stadium, with a highest score of 129. He averages close to 50 here. No other current IPL batter has that kind of volume at a single venue. When Gill walks out at Motera, the pitch, the conditions, the crowd — everything works in his favour. Jos Buttler has 242 runs at this ground across fewer innings but at a devastating strike rate. His 106 not out off 60 balls in the 2022 Qualifier against RCB was the innings that took Rajasthan to the final — ironically, at the ground where he now plays for GT. Last season he scored 97 not out off 54 against DC here. Buttler at Motera is a different player. Sai Sudharsan (740 runs at this venue) is back after a rib fracture in January. He had a quiet start against PBKS but a home match against familiar conditions should help. Washington Sundar provides the spin-batting utility at 7. The batting lineup runs deep — Shahrukh Khan, Tewatia, and Holder can all accelerate.Sooryavanshi, Jaiswal, and the RR Threat
Rajasthan Royals look a different team this season. Sanju Samson has gone to CSK. Sam Curran is out for the tournament with a groin injury. In their place: Ravindra Jadeja (traded from CSK) and Dasun Shanaka (Rs 2 crore replacement). Riyan Parag captains for the first time, backed by head coach Kumar Sangakkara. The opener against CSK was as dominant as it gets. CSK were bowled out for 127, and RR chased it in 12.1 overs. The headline: 15-year-old Vaibhav Sooryavanshi smashing 52 off just 17 balls — five sixes, four fours, the fastest fifty of IPL 2026. But here's what GT's bowlers will be thinking about. In IPL 2025, at Sawai Mansingh Stadium in Jaipur, Sooryavanshi walked out against this same GT attack and scored 101 off 38 balls — seven fours, eleven sixes. It was the second-fastest century in IPL history. He made the youngest IPL centurion record at 14. RR chased 210 in 15.5 overs. GT's bowlers remember. Siraj went for 24 in 2 overs. Prasidh Krishna conceded 47 in 4. Only Rashid Khan (1/24) contained him. That was in Jaipur. This is Ahmedabad — bigger ground, different surface, and GT's home crowd. The challenge for Sooryavanshi is replicating that against the new-ball pair of Rabada and Siraj in less familiar conditions. Parag made 393 runs in IPL 2025 — his breakout season — but captaincy is a different pressure. His first real away test, against a side that needs a win to stay in the conversation, will test his tactical maturity. How he deploys Jadeja (who bowled to GT batters in training until last season), manages Shanaka's introduction, and handles Motera's conditions will shape the match.Rashid Khan: The Question Mark in GT's Attack
Rashid Khan had his worst IPL season in 2025. Nine wickets in 15 matches. Economy of 9.35. For a bowler who built his reputation on middle-overs control, those numbers were alarming. In GT's 2026 opener against PBKS, he took 1/29 in 4 overs — economy 7.25. Better, but one match doesn't confirm recovery. His GT career numbers remain strong: 65 wickets in 60 matches at an average of 28.52 and economy of 8.07. That includes dominant seasons in 2022-23. The question is which Rashid shows up — the career version or the 2025 version. At Motera specifically, the pitch helps him. The red soil (75% of the pitch composition) offers grip. The ball turns consistently. In IPL 2025, spinners had an economy of 9.8 here — high, but that's because totals were enormous (average first innings 219). Relative to pace bowlers (economy 10.3), spinners actually did better. If RR are asked to set a total and Rashid bowls on a dry surface before the dew arrives, he's at his most dangerous. If GT set the total and he has to bowl with a slippery ball at 9 PM, his effectiveness drops. This is the single biggest toss-dependent factor in the match.Where This Match Will Be Won and Lost
Three battles will decide this game. 1. Powerplay pace: Rabada and Siraj vs Jaiswal and Sooryavanshi. GT's new-ball pair against RR's explosive openers. At Motera, the ball comes onto the bat nicely with true bounce. Rabada's ability to hit hard lengths and Siraj's inswing will be tested by Jaiswal's pull shots and Sooryavanshi's fearless striking. If RR's openers score 60+ in the first 6 overs, the game tilts heavily their way. 2. Middle overs: Rashid Khan vs Hetmyer, Parag, and Jadeja. Rashid on a dry Motera surface before the dew is the best version of himself. Hetmyer struggles against quality leg-spin. Parag is aggressive but can be impulsive. Jadeja coming in at 6 gives RR insurance. Two or more wickets from Rashid in overs 7-15 and GT are in control. 3. Death bowling. This is where GT lost against PBKS — Connolly's 72* came in the death. Without a proven death specialist (Holder is more of a container), GT rely on Rabada and Siraj finishing the job. RR's death bowling is thinner without Curran — Shanaka and Burger are the options. Whoever controls overs 16-20 wins.🤝 Head-to-Head Record
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Narendra Modi Stadium has hosted 44 IPL matches through 2025. In IPL 2025 alone, 11 of 9 matches produced totals over 200. Highest total: 243/5 by PBKS (2025). Highest successful chase: 207/7 by KKR. Pitch is 75% red soil with true bounce and short square boundaries (64m).
🪙 Toss recommendation: Bowl first. Evening dew forms around 8 PM and makes the ball slippery. In IPL 2025, setting targets first won 6 of 8 matches here — but that's partly because GT's bowling was strong at home. The dew factor matters more for the neutral bettor.
Top scorer at Motera: Shubman Gill — 1,109 runs in 23 innings (HS 129). Top wicket-taker: Mohit Sharma — 29 wickets (best 5/10).
Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad · 132,000 capacity
Full Guide →60m – 75m boundaries
175
Avg 1st Innings
45%
Chase Win Rate
48%
Toss → Field
Minimal dew impact tonight. Toss advantage is reduced. Conditions relatively neutral.
Narendra Modi Stadium has a 132,000 seating capacity — the world's largest cricket venue. Average score at Narendra Modi Stadium is 175 first innings. Narendra Modi Stadium weather in Ahmedabad stays dry, giving batting first a genuine advantage.
GT vs RR Prediction: Home Advantage Decides
Gujarat Titans at 55% on their home ground, against a team they've beaten 6 times in 8 meetings. The pillars of this prediction: Gill's 1,109 runs at Motera. Buttler's 242 runs here including that 106 not out. Rashid Khan's 65 wickets for GT at 8.07 economy across his career. The H2H record. The venue familiarity. These are structural advantages that one match doesn't erase. RR's counter-arguments are real. Sooryavanshi already scored a century against this attack — he's not intimidated. Jaiswal is world-class. Jadeja adds left-arm spin and lower-order batting that RR lacked before. Parag has a point to prove as captain. And Burger looked sharp with 2/26 against CSK. But RR's CSK demolition needs context. CSK were missing Dhoni, Brevis, and Ellis. They scored 127 on a Guwahati surface that offered more for bowlers. Motera is a batsman's paradise — average first-innings score of 219 in 2025. RR's bowling will face a much sterner test here. The market has GT at 1.90 (implied 52.6%). Our model sits at 55%. Pre-toss, the gap is small. Wait for the toss. If RR set a total — Rabada and Siraj with the new ball, Rashid on a dry surface, then Buttler and Gill chasing with dew — that's when GT at 1.90 becomes a strong value play at +7.4%. Our prediction: Gujarat Titans to win. The value is post-toss. If RR bat first, back the hosts. Otherwise, lean GT but don't overcommit.📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Best Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gujarat Titans | 55% | 52.6% | 1.90 | 1.82 |
| Rajasthan Royals | 45% | 48.8% | 2.05 | 2.22 |
Toss-dependent value play. Pre-toss, GT at 1.90 offers just +1.5% above fair odds of 1.82 — below our usual 2% threshold. But if RR bat first, GT's probability rises to 59% (fair odds 1.69), making those odds a strong value play (+7.4%). RR at 2.05 is below fair (2.22) in all scenarios — not recommended. Odds from 28 bookmakers including DafaBet.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win GT vs RR on April 4, 2026?
Our AI model predicts Gujarat Titans to win with 55% probability. GT have a 6-2 head-to-head advantage and have lost only once to RR at Narendra Modi Stadium. Gill has scored 1,109 runs at this venue, and Buttler adds another 242 including a century.
What is the toss prediction for GT vs RR?
Bowl first. Motera's evening dew makes the ball slippery from around 8 PM, reducing spin effectiveness and making batting easier in the second innings. In IPL 2025, setting targets first won 6 of 8 at this venue — but the dew factor still tilts chase probability upward for neutrals.
What are the best odds for GT vs RR?
GT are available at 1.90 (best via Betfair) across 28 bookmakers. RR at 2.05 (Unibet). Our fair odds are GT 1.82, RR 2.22. If RR bat first, GT at 1.90 becomes +7.4% value. Pre-toss, the edge is just +1.5% — below our usual threshold.
How did Sooryavanshi perform against GT previously?
Vaibhav Sooryavanshi scored 101 off 38 balls against Gujarat Titans in IPL 2025 at Sawai Mansingh Stadium in Jaipur — the second-fastest century in IPL history. He hit 7 fours and 11 sixes. That innings was in Jaipur, not Ahmedabad, which is a relevant distinction for this match.
What is Narendra Modi Stadium's average score in IPL?
Over 44 IPL matches, the average first-innings score at Motera is 184. In IPL 2025, that jumped to 219 with 11 totals exceeding 200 in just 9 matches. Short square boundaries (64m) and true bounce make this one of the highest-scoring IPL venues. Expect 180+ totals.
Is Rashid Khan in form for GT?
Mixed. Rashid had his worst IPL season in 2025 (9 wickets in 15 matches at 9.35 economy). In GT's 2026 opener, he took 1/29 in 4 overs — improved but inconclusive from one match. His GT career record remains strong at 65 wickets in 60 matches with 8.07 economy.
How does Jos Buttler perform at Narendra Modi Stadium?
Buttler has scored 242 runs at Motera, including 106 not out off 60 balls in the 2022 IPL Qualifier against RCB and 97 not out off 54 against DC in 2025. He played for Rajasthan Royals before joining GT, so he knows this ground from both sides.
