SMS Stadium IPL Betting Guide
Sawai Man Singh Stadium, Jaipur · Capacity: 30,000
Last updated: 15 March 2026 · By CricketPrediction.com
The paradox ground. Low scores (avg 170) but highest chase win rate in IPL (64%). How? Setting a target on a slow, low pitch is hard. Chasing teams can pace their innings knowing exactly what they need. Toss winners field 62% of the time. The large boundaries (70-75m) make totals betting interesting — unders tend to hit more often here. Teams with quality spin bowling have a massive edge on this surface.
170
Avg 1st Innings
64%
Chase Win Rate
62%
Toss → Field
—
Our Accuracy Here
Key Betting Fact
Despite being a lower-scoring ground (avg 170), chase win rate is 64% — the HIGHEST in IPL. The combination of known target + deteriorating pitch makes chasing paradoxically easier.
Pitch Character
Slow and low. The pitch does not offer much bounce, making stroke play harder. The large 70-75m boundaries mean batters must time the ball perfectly. Spin bowlers extract grip from the surface.
Batting Conditions
Sawai Mansingh is a challenging batting surface. Average first innings of 170 is well below IPL average. The slow, low pitch does not offer pace for batters to work with. Timing is everything — power alone does not work when the ball holds in the pitch. The massive 70-75m boundaries mean even well-struck shots get caught. Batters who can manipulate the field and rotate strike thrive more than big hitters.
Highest Total
226/6 (RR vs RCB, 2024)
Lowest Total
58 (RCB, 2009)
Bowling Conditions
Both spin (8.2) and pace (8.6) are economical here — the best combined bowling economy of any IPL ground. The slow surface rewards accuracy over pace. Spinners who bowl with topspin and vary their pace are deadly. Pacers who bowl cutters and slower balls outperform those relying on raw speed. Death bowling is less punishing than at other venues because the big ground and slow pitch limit boundary options.
Spin Economy
8.2
Pace Economy
8.6
Try It: Pitch Simulator
Switch between pace, spin, and slower deliveries to see how SMS Stadium's slow low surface affects what the ball does. Drag the dew slider to see how evening moisture changes conditions. Each metric links directly to specific betting markets.
Pitch Simulator
SMS Stadium · Slow & Low · 70-75m
Bounce Height
0.84m
Knee height
Movement
Seam
Off the pitch
Speed Retained
58%
Medium
Stays low. The surface kills bounce. LBW and bowled are the key dismissals here.
Toss Impact
Toss winners field 62% of the time, and the 64% chase win rate validates this decisively. This is the strongest toss-field venue in terms of actual chase success. The pitch gets slower as the match progresses, making setting a total progressively harder. Even modest chasing targets of 155-165 get overhauled regularly because the chasing team can plan their innings.
Dew Factor
Low to moderate. Jaipur's arid climate means less dew than coastal or humid cities. Desert conditions keep the outfield dry longer.
Ground Dimensions
Boundary size: 70-75m (one of IPL's largest)
Tonight's Dew Impact
Pre-loaded with typical Jaipur evening conditions. Adjust to tonight's forecast for a venue-specific betting recommendation.
Dew Impact Calculator
Pre-set for SMS Stadium evening conditions
Dew Point
15.0°C
Spread
13.0°C
Dew Risk
LOW
Chase Prob
64%
SMS Stadium Betting Recommendation
Even without significant dew, SMS Stadium's 64% chase rate means the chasing team has a built-in edge. The pitch and ground dimensions favour batting second regardless of conditions.
Dew point: Td = T − (100−RH)/5. Chase adjustment: HIGH +8%, MODERATE +4%, LOW +0% applied to venue's historical 64% chase rate. Adjust sliders to tonight's weather forecast. Full toss prediction guide →
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IPL 2026 at SMS Stadium
🏏 IPL 2026 starts March 28
Match results and our prediction accuracy at SMS Stadium will appear here as the season progresses.
RR team preview →Frequently Asked Questions
What is the average score at Sawai Mansingh Stadium in IPL?
Average first innings score is 170 — below IPL average. The slow, low pitch and massive 70-75m boundaries make big scoring difficult. Par is around 165-175.
Is Jaipur good for chasing in IPL?
The best chase venue in IPL. Chase win rate is 64% despite being a low-scoring ground. The known target + deteriorating pitch combination makes chasing paradoxically easier than setting a total.
Does the toss matter in Jaipur?
Very much. Toss winners field 62% of the time and chase win rate is 64%. The toss is arguably more decisive here than any other IPL venue because of how the slow pitch favours chasing.
What makes Sawai Mansingh unique for betting?
The paradox factor. Low average score (170) but highest chase win rate (64%). This means unders on totals bets hit more often, and the chasing team has a structural advantage. It is the only venue where both scoring under AND chasing successfully are the dominant pattern.
How big are the boundaries at Jaipur?
Boundaries are 70-75m — one of the largest in IPL. This suppresses scoring, rewards fielding teams, and means big hits must be perfectly timed. Sixes are harder here than at most IPL grounds.
Is spin effective at Sawai Mansingh?
Extremely. Spin economy is 8.2 — among the best in IPL. The slow surface provides grip, and the large ground means spinners can invite aerial shots knowing they will get caught. Quality spinners are match-winners here.
What is the par score at Sawai Mansingh?
Par score is 165-175. Anything above 180 is a strong total to defend. Below 155 is very difficult to defend even with good bowling, as the chasing team can pace their innings comfortably.
Other IPL Venues
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