DEL Delhi
VID Vidarbha
Vijay Hazare Trophy
Delhi vs Vidarbha Match Recap
Result: Vidarbha won by 76 runs (300/9 vs 224)
Our Prediction: VID — Correct
Pre-match analysis published on 13 January 2026:
Vidarbha are favourites to reach the semi-finals as Delhi face their VHT quarterfinal without Virat Kohli and Rishabh Pant. Both stars are unavailable - Kohli is playing the India vs New Zealand ODI series, while Pant is sidelined with a right oblique muscle strain. Dhruv Shorey leads Vidarbha into this knockout with five consecutive List A centuries - a record-equalling streak.
Team Context and Recent Form
Delhi (5W-2L, Group D winners): Finished top of their group with a comprehensive nine-wicket win over Haryana on January 8. Priyansh Arya has been their standout performer with 316 runs at average 52.66 and strike rate 165. However, the absence of Kohli and Pant is massive - they combined for 147 runs in Delhi's crucial win over Gujarat. Ayush Badoni steps up as captain, a significant test for the young leader.
Vidarbha (5W-2L, Group B runners-up): Qualified with a dominant 160-run win over Assam. Dhruv Shorey is in extraordinary form - 419 runs at average 83.60 with two centuries already this tournament. His five consecutive List A hundreds (dating back to last season) equal N Jagadeesan's record. Atharva Taide and Aman Mokhade provide solid support, while Parth Rekhade leads the bowling with consistent wicket-taking ability.
Key Players to Watch
| Player | Team | Role | Key Stat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dhruv Shorey | VID | Top-order bat | 419 runs, avg 83.60, 5 consecutive 100s |
| Priyansh Arya | DEL | Opener | 316 runs, SR 165, 4 fifties |
| Ayush Badoni (C) | DEL | Middle-order/Captain | First knockout as captain |
| Parth Rekhade | VID | Pace bowler | 4/45 vs Assam in qualification match |
Our Prediction
The absence of Kohli and Pant fundamentally changes this contest. Delhi still have quality in Sarfaraz Khan and Nitish Rana, but losing two match-winners of that calibre in a knockout is significant. Vidarbha arrive with Shorey in record-breaking form and a balanced squad that reached last season's final. Unless Arya or Sarfaraz produce something special, Vidarbha's combination of form and momentum should prevail.
Vidarbha at 52% confidence is our pick.
Betting Value
Delhi at 1.68 implies 59.5% probability. Our model gives Delhi 48%, creating a -11.5% edge - no value backing the favourites. Vidarbha at 2.15 implies 46.5% against our 52%, delivering a +5.5% edge - solid value above our 2% threshold.
Back Vidarbha with 1 unit. Shorey's form and Delhi's star absences create genuine underdog value. Vidarbha to reach the semi-finals.
Staking: 1 unit = 1% of your betting bankroll. We recommend 1.5u for edges above 8%, 1u for 5-8%, and 0.5u for edges between 2-5%.
