Big Bash League

Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers Match Result & Analysis

Melbourne Stars cricket team logo

MS

41%
WINNER
VS
Adelaide Strikers cricket team logo

AS

59%

Melbourne Cricket Ground,

Our pre-match prediction
Analysis by CricketPrediction.com
❌ Prediction Incorrect
We Predicted
Adelaide Strikers
at 59% confidence
Actual Result
Melbourne Stars won
🏏 See Our Latest Predictions
📝 Pre-Match Analysis

Result: Melbourne Stars won by 6 wickets (86/4 vs 83)

Our Prediction: Adelaide Strikers — Incorrect


Pre-match analysis published on 13 January 2026:

We're backing Adelaide Strikers in a match that could go either way.

No significant toss bias at Melbourne Cricket Ground - it's been evenly split between batting first and chasing.

Watch for Adelaide Strikers to attack early - they're scoring at 9.32 RPO in powerplays. Melbourne Stars's new-ball attack has been restrictive, conceding just 7.61 in powerplays.

Adelaide Strikers's ability to score at 8.46 RPO through the middle keeps scoreboard pressure on.

The backend could decide this, and Melbourne Stars's death bowling (9.52 economy) is sharp.

When you break down the matchups, Adelaide Strikers come out ahead more often than not. Melbourne Stars will need their top performers to fire if they're to cause an upset.

The prediction: Adelaide Strikers to win at 59% probability.

Phase Comparison

Powerplay SR

MS
AS

Middle Overs SR

MS
AS

Death Overs SR

MS
AS

Death Economy

MS
AS