Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers Match Result & Analysis

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Pre-match analysis published on 13 January 2026:

We're backing Adelaide Strikers in a match that could go either way.

No significant toss bias at Melbourne Cricket Ground - it's been evenly split between batting first and chasing.

Watch for Adelaide Strikers to attack early - they're scoring at 9.32 RPO in powerplays. Melbourne Stars's new-ball attack has been restrictive, conceding just 7.61 in powerplays.

Adelaide Strikers's ability to score at 8.46 RPO through the middle keeps scoreboard pressure on.

The backend could decide this, and Melbourne Stars's death bowling (9.52 economy) is sharp.

When you break down the matchups, Adelaide Strikers come out ahead more often than not. Melbourne Stars will need their top performers to fire if they're to cause an upset.

The prediction: Adelaide Strikers to win at 59% probability.