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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ WPL
Mumbai Indians Women cricket team logo

MI-W

PREDICTED
VS
Gujarat Giants Women cricket team logo

GG-W

DY Patil Stadium, Navi Mumbai

Women's Premier League

Mumbai Indians Women vs Gujarat Giants Women Match Prediction

Last updated: 12 January 2026

Close Call Model tips Mumbai Indians Women at 58% (fair odds 1.72)
Value Bet
Fair Odds
1.72
Market Odds
1.75
Edge
+0.9%
Bet on MI-W if odds are above 1.72
Bet on Mumbai Indians Women

Team Context and Recent Form

Mumbai Indians are the defending WPL champions and bounced back emphatically after their opening loss to RCB. Captain Harmanpreet Kaur smashed an unbeaten 74 off 42 balls against Delhi Capitals, while Nat Sciver-Brunt contributed 70 off 46 as MI posted 195/4 and won by 50 runs. Harmanpreet is now the highest run-scorer in WPL history with 945 runs across 29 matches. All-rounder Hayley Matthews remains doubtful with a shoulder injury, which could impact their bowling depth.

Gujarat Giants sit top of the table with two wins from two. Sophie Devine was sensational against Delhi Capitals, blasting 95 off 54 balls in a narrow 4-run victory. Captain Ashleigh Gardner led from the front in Match 2, scoring 65 off 41 against UP Warriorz. However, the Giants face a daunting historical barrier - they have never beaten Mumbai Indians in WPL history across seven attempts.

Key Players to Watch

PlayerTeamRoleForm
Harmanpreet KaurMI-WCaptain74* vs DC, 945 WPL runs
Nat Sciver-BruntMI-WAll-rounder70 vs DC
Sophie DevineGG-WOpener95 vs DC, 38 vs UP
Ashleigh GardnerGG-WCaptain65 vs UP, 597 WPL runs
Georgia WarehamGG-WSpinner2/30 vs UP

Head-to-Head Record

Mumbai's dominance over Gujarat is unprecedented in WPL. The 7-0 head-to-head record includes comprehensive victories in both regular season and knockout stages. In the WPL 2025 Eliminator, MI hammered GG by 47 runs at the same DY Patil venue. Gujarat's top order collapsed against MI's spinners that day, and that mental scar could resurface.

Venue and Toss

DY Patil Stadium continues to favour teams batting first - 3 of 4 WPL 2026 matches won by the side setting the target. With evening dew expected, the toss winner will likely elect to bowl first. Both teams have posted 190+ totals here this season, suggesting another high-scoring affair.

Our Prediction

While Gujarat are the form team with two wins from two, history weighs heavily against them. Harmanpreet and Sciver-Brunt are in devastating touch, and MI's big-match experience is unmatched. GG must break that psychological barrier eventually, but backing them to do it here feels premature.

Mumbai Indians at 58% confidence is our pick.

Betting Value

MI at 1.75 implies 57.1% probability. Our model gives MI 58%, creating a +0.9% edge. GG at 2.20 implies 45.5% against our 42%, offering no value on the underdog.

The edge on MI falls below our 2% threshold for a betting recommendation. The market respects MI's 7-0 record as much as we do - sharp pricing that reflects exactly what we see. MI should extend their winning streak over the Giants.

Win Probability

MI-W
GG-W

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