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Karnataka cricket team logo

KAR

WINNER
VS
Puducherry cricket team logo

PUD

Narendra Modi Stadium B, Ahmedabad

Vijay Hazare Trophy 2025-26

Karnataka vs Puducherry Match Recap

Analysis by Vikram Sharma · Quantitative Strategist

Result: Karnataka won by 67 runs. KAR 363/4 vs PUD 296.

Our Prediction: Karnataka — Correct


Pre-match analysis published on 31 December 2025:

Karnataka are overwhelming favourites. The defending champions sit joint-top of Group A with a perfect 3-0 record (12 pts) and batting depth that no team can match. Puducherry are winless at 0-3 (0 pts) and their bowling just set an unwanted world record. This is a complete mismatch.

Team Context & Recent Form

Karnataka (3-0, 12 pts): Defending champions in imperious form. Devdutt Padikkal scored back-to-back centuries (147 vs Jharkhand, 124 vs Kerala) in Rounds 1-2. He made a quick 22 off 12 balls in Round 3 before departing early. Karun Nair (130* vs Kerala) delivered a match-winning performance. Captain Mayank Agarwal (58 vs TN) leads an experienced squad. Krishnan Shrijith (77) and Shreyas Gopal (55) stepped up in the last match. They have chased 413 and 289—no target is safe against this lineup.

Puducherry (0-3, 0 pts): A team in complete disarray. Lost to Jharkhand by 133 runs on Dec 29, conceding a massive 368/7. Captain Aman Khan set a world record for the most expensive bowling spell in List A history—conceding 123 runs in 10 overs (1/123). They've conceded 310+ in multiple matches. Parth Vagani dismissed both Jharkhand openers but it meant nothing. The bowling is shattered and the batting cannot compete.

Key Player Stats

PlayerTeamRoleKey Stat
Devdutt PadikkalKAROpener147, 124 in Rounds 1-2
Karun NairKARNo. 3130* vs Kerala (POTM)
Mayank Agarwal (C)KAROpener58 vs TN, experienced leader
Aman Khan (C)PUDAll-rounder1/123—world record worst spell
Parth VaganiPUDBowlerDismissed Jharkhand openers early

Venue Analysis

Narendra Modi Stadium B, Ahmedabad offers flat batting conditions. Karnataka's batting firepower will feast. Puducherry just conceded 368 at this venue—they have no answers.

Final Verdict

This is a banker. Karnataka are playing championship-level cricket with Padikkal, Nair, Agarwal all in form. Puducherry's captain just bowled the worst spell in List A history. Their bowling confidence is shattered. Expect a dominant Karnataka victory by a massive margin.

Karnataka at 88% confidence is our pick.

Value Note

Odds not yet available. Expect Karnataka to be extremely heavy favourites around 1.08-1.12. SKIP for betting—no value at those prices, but this is as close to a guaranteed win as you'll find.

Win Probability

KAR
PUD

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