Madhya Pradesh vs Tripura — Prediction Correct ✅

Pre-match analysis published on 31 December 2025:

Result: Madhya Pradesh won by 4 wickets. MP 287/6 (44 ov) vs Tripura 286/7 (50 ov).

Pre-Match Probability: Madhya Pradesh 72% | Tripura 28%

No Bet: Edge was below 2% threshold.

Match Summary

Venkatesh Iyer's 4/44 set the tone as MP elected to bowl first. The India all-rounder dismantled Tripura's top and middle order, taking four crucial wickets in his 10-over spell. Despite a resilient 107-run partnership between Sridam Paul (52) and guest player Vijay Shankar (91), Tripura could only manage 286/7.

The chase was built on a solid foundation. Yash Dubey's 105 off 97 balls (8 fours, 2 sixes) was the anchor innings MP needed. Shubham Sharma (71 off 75) provided excellent support as the pair put Tripura's bowling under sustained pressure.

Vijay Shankar fought back with 3/49, but it was too little too late. MP cruised home with 36 balls to spare, finishing at the top of Group A with 16 points.

Key Performances

Analysis Review

Validated: MP's superior squad depth proved decisive. Venkatesh Iyer with the ball and Yash Dubey with the bat—both delivered match-winning performances. MP finishing top of Group A confirms their quality.

Validated: Tripura's reliance on guest players. Vijay Shankar's all-round contribution (91 + 3/49) was excellent, but no one else stepped up in the batting. Their core domestic players couldn't compete with MP's depth.

Underweighted: The margin of victory. We expected a closer game given the 72% confidence, but MP won with 36 balls remaining. The gap between these teams was larger than even we predicted.

Betting Outcome

No bet placed. Edge was only 0.6%. The correct prediction played out comfortably. MP's dominance in Group A is now confirmed—they will be dangerous in the knockouts.