Madhya Pradesh vs Tripura Prediction - Vijay Hazare Trophy 2025-26
MP Madhya Pradesh
TRI Tripura
Vijay Hazare Trophy 2025-26
Madhya Pradesh vs Tripura Match Recap
Result: Madhya Pradesh won by 4 wickets. MP 287/6 (44 ov) vs Tripura 286/7 (50 ov).
Pre-Match Probability: Madhya Pradesh 72% | Tripura 28%
No Bet: Edge was below 2% threshold.
Match Summary
Venkatesh Iyer's 4/44 set the tone as MP elected to bowl first. The India all-rounder dismantled Tripura's top and middle order, taking four crucial wickets in his 10-over spell. Despite a resilient 107-run partnership between Sridam Paul (52) and guest player Vijay Shankar (91), Tripura could only manage 286/7.
The chase was built on a solid foundation. Yash Dubey's 105 off 97 balls (8 fours, 2 sixes) was the anchor innings MP needed. Shubham Sharma (71 off 75) provided excellent support as the pair put Tripura's bowling under sustained pressure.
Vijay Shankar fought back with 3/49, but it was too little too late. MP cruised home with 36 balls to spare, finishing at the top of Group A with 16 points.
Key Performances
| Player | Team | Performance |
|---|---|---|
| Yash Dubey | MP | 105 off 97 (8x4, 2x6) - POTM |
| Venkatesh Iyer | MP | 4/44 in 10 overs |
| Shubham Sharma | MP | 71 off 75 (2x4, 2x6) |
| Vijay Shankar | TRI | 91 off 98 + 3/49 |
| Sridam Paul | TRI | 52 off 58 |
Analysis Review
Validated: MP's superior squad depth proved decisive. Venkatesh Iyer with the ball and Yash Dubey with the bat—both delivered match-winning performances. MP finishing top of Group A confirms their quality.
Validated: Tripura's reliance on guest players. Vijay Shankar's all-round contribution (91 + 3/49) was excellent, but no one else stepped up in the batting. Their core domestic players couldn't compete with MP's depth.
Underweighted: The margin of victory. We expected a closer game given the 72% confidence, but MP won with 36 balls remaining. The gap between these teams was larger than even we predicted.
Betting Outcome
No bet placed. Edge was only 0.6%. The correct prediction played out comfortably. MP's dominance in Group A is now confirmed—they will be dangerous in the knockouts.
