Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians Toss Prediction (RR vs MI)
Our toss call
From our match preview
We expect the toss winner to field.
✓ Decision called · Mumbai Indians elected to field
Toss result
Mumbai Indians won the toss and chose to bowl.
Rajasthan Royals bat first
Stamped 7 May, 14:15 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Rajasthan Royals won by 27 runs ✗ match-winner prediction wrong
From our match preview
Toss winner should bowl first — heavy dew makes second innings significantly easier
🏟️ What the toss means at Barsapara Cricket Stadium
The toss went Mumbai Indians's way — they chose to field, so Mumbai Indians chase. In this branch our model makes Rajasthan Royals 40.0% — fair odds 2.50 (MI 1.67) against a pre-toss baseline of 48.0%.
How we made this Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we read captain decisions.
Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians match preview.
Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians match prediction →
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RR vs MI toss prediction FAQ
Who won the RR vs MI toss?
Mumbai Indians won the RR vs MI toss and chose to field first.
What did the toss winner choose in RR vs MI?
Mumbai Indians chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.
How does the toss affect the RR vs MI match odds?
Meaningfully. Barsapara Cricket Stadium favours chasing (teams batting second win 65% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 8 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.
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More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Who won the toss today → · Full prediction archive →