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Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians Toss Prediction (RR vs MI)

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Tuesday, 7 April 2026 · 19:30 IST · Barsapara Cricket Stadium · IPL

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians match preview on 28 March 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called
Our predicted decision
field first
From the article: "Toss winner should bowl first — heavy dew makes second innings significantly easier"
What happened
Mumbai Indians elected to field
Stamped 7 May, 14:15 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Mumbai Indians won the match ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

🏟️ What the toss means at Barsapara Cricket Stadium

Toss impact: HIGH chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 65% here

The toss went Mumbai Indians's way — they chose to field, so Mumbai Indians chase. In this branch our model makes Rajasthan Royals 40.0% — fair odds 2.50 (MI 1.67) against a pre-toss baseline of 48.0%.

How we made this Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we read captain decisions.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for RR vs MI: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians prediction →

RR vs MI toss prediction FAQ

Who won the RR vs MI toss?

Mumbai Indians won the RR vs MI toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in RR vs MI?

Mumbai Indians chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the RR vs MI match odds?

Meaningfully. Barsapara Cricket Stadium favours chasing (teams batting second win 65% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 8 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →