Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants Toss Prediction (KKR vs LSG)

Thursday, 9 April 2026 · 19:30 IST · Eden Gardens · IPL

Last updated: 7 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants match preview on 28 March 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "The toss winner should field first. Eden Gardens has a 57% chase win rate across 100 IPL matches, and 71% of toss winners choose to bowl. Heavy dew in April evening conditions makes defending totals significantly harder."

What happened

Lucknow Super Giants elected to field

Stamped 7 May, 14:15 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Lucknow Super Giants won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Eden Gardens

Toss impact: HIGH chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 59% here

The toss went Lucknow Super Giants's way — they chose to field, so Lucknow Super Giants chase. In this branch our model makes Kolkata Knight Riders 42.0% — fair odds 2.38 (LSG 1.72) against a pre-toss baseline of 48.0%.

How we made this Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss decision framework.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for KKR vs LSG: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants prediction →

KKR vs LSG toss prediction FAQ

Who won the KKR vs LSG toss?

Lucknow Super Giants won the KKR vs LSG toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in KKR vs LSG?

Lucknow Super Giants chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the KKR vs LSG match odds?

Meaningfully. Eden Gardens favours chasing (teams batting second win 59% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 6 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →