Australia vs England 3rd ODI Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
Pick: Australia to win, at 54%.
Australia
England 46%
Toss Prediction
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 66%.
Toss preview ›Key Takeaways
- • Pick: Australia to win, at 54%.
- • Toss call: Field first, at 66%. See our AUS vs ENG toss call, locked in before the coin lands.
- • Key fact: The series is level at 1-1 after Australia won by 7 wickets in Perth (13 November 2026) and England won by 135 runs in Adelaide (15 November 2026).
- • Value: Australia's fair odds are 1.85, and Melbet had them at 1.70 at 19:46 IST (15 November).
We back Australia, at 54%.
The three-match series is level at 1-1, and this 3rd ODI at Bellerive Oval in Hobart decides it.
England won the 2nd ODI by 135 runs in Adelaide (15 November 2026). Australia had beaten them by 7 wickets in Perth (13 November 2026).
The day-night game starts at 9:00 am IST (03:30 UTC) on 18 November, and we expect the toss winner to bowl first.
Which team is stronger, Australia or England?
Australia, narrowly. Our AI model gives them 54% for the decider, with the market at 55.1%.
Their bowling won the series opener. Australia bowled England out for 131 in 33.4 overs in Perth (13 November 2026).
Spencer Johnson took 3 for 42 in 9 overs for Australia in that game. Mitchell Marsh, the Australia captain, made 50 off 30 balls for Australia against England (13 November 2026) as they reached 132 for 3 in 23.3 overs.
Adelaide went the other way. Australia were bowled out for 220 in 44.3 overs at Adelaide Oval (15 November 2026).
Cameron Green made 64 off 82 balls for Australia against England (15 November 2026). Matt Renshaw made 63 off 74 balls for Australia in the same innings.
England's batting answered in Adelaide. Tom Banton made 121 off 99 balls for England at Adelaide Oval (15 November 2026), and he was player of the match.
England made 355 for 6 in 50 overs against Australia (15 November 2026). Jordan Cox made 67 off 49 balls for England in that innings, and Joe Root made 62 off 68 balls for England.
Will Jacks made 54 not out off 40 balls for England in the same innings. Gus Atkinson then took 4 for 28 in 10 overs for England.
Perth was a different story for England. Gus Atkinson's 29 not out off 32 balls was England's top score at Perth Stadium (13 November 2026).
Harry Brook, the England captain, made 1 off 4 balls for England against Australia (13 November 2026). Harry Brook made 5 off 11 balls for England at Adelaide Oval on 15 November 2026.
Key matchups: Gus Atkinson against Mitchell Marsh, Spencer Johnson against Tom Banton
Gus Atkinson against Mitchell Marsh. Gus Atkinson took 4 for 28 for England against Australia (15 November 2026).
Mitchell Marsh made 50 off 30 balls for Australia in Perth (13 November 2026), and England need him out early.
Spencer Johnson against Tom Banton. Spencer Johnson took 3 for 42 for Australia against England (13 November 2026), when England were bowled out for 131.
Tom Banton made 121 off 99 balls for England against Australia (15 November 2026), so Australia need him out early in Hobart.
Xavier Bartlett against Joe Root. Xavier Bartlett took 3 for 72 in 10 overs for Australia against England (15 November 2026).
Joe Root made 62 off 68 balls for England against Australia in the same game. Joe Root also made 69 off 70 balls for England at Bellerive Oval (23 January 2015), in the sides' last ODI at the ground.
Australia vs England head to head
Australia
3
England
2
Australia lead 3-2 across their five most recent ODIs
The sides last met in an ODI at Bellerive Oval on 23 January 2015, and Australia won by 3 wickets with 1 ball left.
Australia vs England pitch report: Bellerive Oval, Hobart
Bellerive Oval suits batting in one-day cricket, and we expect the toss winner to bowl first, at 66%.
The 3rd ODI of the England tour of Australia 2026, in Hobart
South Africa made 320 for 5 at Bellerive Oval and beat Australia by 40 runs (11 November 2018). Australia made 280 for 9 in reply.
England made 303 for 8 in Hobart (23 January 2015). Australia made 304 for 7 in 49.5 overs and won by 3 wickets.
Tasmania were bowled out for 274 in 50 overs by New South Wales in Hobart (21 February 2026). New South Wales made 275 for 3 in 31 overs in reply and won by 7 wickets.
Victoria made 304 for 7 against Tasmania in Hobart (24 October 2026) and won by 138 runs on the DLS method.
Clear and about 16°C for the 2:30 pm start in Hobart, cooling to about 12°C by 9:00 pm as cloud builds, with no rain in the forecast. Forecast read 15 November, 19:46 IST.
Every toss winner in these four games chose to bowl first.
Australia vs England prediction: we back Australia at 54%
We back Australia, at 54%, with the market at 55.1%.
Their attack is the reason. Australia bowled England out for 131 in Perth (13 November 2026), and they won the sides' last ODI in Hobart (23 January 2015).
England's batting can still win it. England made 355 for 6 in Adelaide (15 November 2026), and Tom Banton's 121 came off 99 balls.
Both sides' prices sat under our fair odds at 19:46 IST (15 November), so the toss is the market with an angle.
What decides Australia vs England
- The toss. We expect the toss winner to bowl first, at 66%. Australia won the toss and chose to bowl in both games of this series, in Perth and Adelaide.
- England's top order. England were bowled out for 131 in 33.4 overs in Perth (13 November 2026), then made 355 for 6 in Adelaide (15 November 2026).
- Australia's batting. Australia were bowled out for 220 in 44.3 overs in Adelaide (15 November 2026), where Gus Atkinson took 4 for 28 for England.
- The price. Both sides' prices sit under our fair odds, which leaves the toss as the market with an angle.
Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | 54% | 55.1% | 1.70 | 1.85 |
| England | 46% | 44.9% | 2.09 | 2.17 |
Melbet had Australia at 1.70 at 19:46 IST (15 November), under our fair odds of 1.85. Melbet had England at 2.09 at 19:46 IST (15 November), under our fair 2.17.
Australia are the pick at 54%. The toss is the market with an angle, and we expect the toss winner to bowl first, at 66%. Odds captured at 19:46 IST on 15 November 2026.
Where the books sit. Our model is 1.1 points below the market on Australia, so the market broadly agrees.
England tour of Australia 2026
Australia vs England odds
18 Nov 2026 · 09:00 IST
Match winner: Australia 1.79 at Dafabet; England 2.09 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet, SpinBetter; checked 22:10–22:15 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1AUS | 2ENG | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 · Australia 1.79 | 2 · England 2.07 | Payout96.0% |
 | 1 · Australia 1.70 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout94.0% |
 | 1 · Australia 1.70 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout94.0% |
 | 1 · Australia 1.70 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout94.0% |
 | 1 · Australia 1.70 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout94.0% |
 | 1 · Australia 1.70 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout94.0% |
 | 1 · Australia 1.70 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout94.0% |
 | 1 · Australia 1.70 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout94.0% |
| Highest | 1 · Australia1.79 | 2 · England2.09 | Payout– |
1X2: Australia 1.70, Tie 50.00, England 2.09 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet, SpinBetter; checked 22:10–22:15 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1AUS | XTie | 2ENG | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Australia 1.70 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout92.4% |
| 1 · Australia 1.70 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout92.4% |
| 1 · Australia 1.70 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout92.4% |
| 1 · Australia 1.70 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout92.4% |
| 1 · Australia 1.70 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout92.4% |
| 1 · Australia 1.70 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout92.4% |
| 1 · Australia 1.70 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · England 2.09 | Payout92.4% |
Total runs
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Match554.5 | 1.88WinWin | 1.78Melbet |
| Australia280.5 | 1.92WinWin | 1.74Melbet |
| England273.5 | 1.92Melbet | 1.74Paripesa |
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Australia vs England in the 3rd ODI?
Australia. Our AI model gives them a 54% chance in the 3rd ODI at Bellerive Oval, Hobart. The series is level at 1-1 after Australia won the 1st ODI in Perth by 7 wickets and England won the 2nd in Adelaide by 135 runs, on 13 and 15 November 2026.
What is the toss prediction for Australia vs England?
Bowl first, at 66%. Australia won the toss and chose to bowl in both games of this series, on 13 and 15 November 2026. In Hobart, Australia also chose to bowl after winning the toss in the ODIs of 23 January 2015 and 11 November 2018.
What are the odds for Australia vs England?
Melbet had Australia at 1.70 and England at 2.09 in the match-winner market at 19:46 IST on 15 November. Our fair odds are 1.85 for Australia and 2.17 for England, so both prices sit under our numbers for this series decider in Hobart.
Is Bellerive Oval a batting or bowling pitch?
A batting pitch in one-day cricket. England made 303 for 8 there on 23 January 2015, South Africa made 320 for 5 on 11 November 2018, and Victoria made 304 for 7 in the One-Day Cup on 24 October 2026. We expect the toss winner to bowl first, at 66%.
When did Australia and England last play an ODI?
On 15 November 2026 in Adelaide, where England beat Australia by 135 runs to level the series at 1-1. Australia lead 3-2 across the five most recent ODIs between the sides, and the sides' last ODI at Bellerive Oval, on 23 January 2015, went to Australia by 3 wickets.
What time does Australia vs England start?
At 9:00 am IST (03:30 UTC) on 18 November 2026, which is 2:30 pm in Hobart. The 3rd ODI at Bellerive Oval is a day-night game, with a clear forecast of about 16°C for the start, cooling to about 12°C by 9:00 pm.
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