Toss predictions
CAYM v BHM Bat first 69% 24/9 19:30 GH v SLE Bat first 56% 25/9 09:00 NGA v GH Bat first 73% 26/9 13:00

Nigeria vs Ghana Toss Prediction

Quadrangular T20I Series in Nigeria, 2026 · 5th Match · Saturday, 26 September 2026 · 13:00 UTC (14:00 local) · Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval, Lagos

Toss prediction from ground record, toss habits and start time

What will the toss winner choose?

Bat first · 73% bat-first

Bat first — Nigeria have batted in 7 of their last 10 tosses won, and captains have chosen to bat in 14 of 22 men's T20 tosses at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval (2023–2024). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bats first at 73%.

Based on
Ground record, toss habits and start time
Tosses at this ground
22
Chose to field
36.4%
Period
2023–2024

Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.

What we looked at

Bowl first 27% Bat first 73%
  • Captains bat first here. 14 of 22 toss winners have batted at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval in 2023–2024 (64%).(points to batting first)
  • Both sides like to bat first. Nigeria have batted in 7 of their last 10 tosses won; Ghana have batted in 6 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to batting first)
  • No dew. Daytime start (14:00 local): conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
  • Batting first wins here. Only 8 of 21 chasing sides have won (38.1%).(points to batting first)
  • Our call: bat first — 73%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to batting first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, amber to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 10 tosses at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2024-11-24NigeriaBatNigeriaNo
2024-11-23Sierra LeoneBatSierra LeoneNo
2024-11-23BotswanaBatBotswanaNo
2023-10-15NigeriaBatNigeriaNo
2023-10-15GhanaBatSierra LeoneYes
2023-10-14Sierra LeoneFieldGhanaNo
2023-10-14NigeriaFieldNigeriaYes
2023-10-12Sierra LeoneFieldNigeriaNo
2023-10-12GhanaBatRwandaYes
2023-10-11Sierra LeoneBatRwandaYes

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

Nigeria have chosen to field in 13 of the 50 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 4 field).

Ghana have chosen to field in 14 of the 27 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 5 field).

Part of our call: it weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time.

Does the toss matter at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval?

In 21 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 8 (38.1%).

Start: 13:00 UTC · 14:00 local time (day match).

How this NGA vs GH toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. We weigh how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss (recent seasons count most), and the start time — an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first. Each is weighed against the men's T20 average (61%) so that a handful of matches can never produce an extreme number. For this match we had this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time.

A fair word on what this is and is not: it is a probability, not a certainty. A call near 50% means the choice really is close. Every call here is checked in public once the toss decision is published.

Full method, dew and captaincy context: our toss prediction model.

NGA vs GH toss prediction FAQ

What is the NGA vs GH toss prediction?

Bat first — Nigeria have batted in 7 of their last 10 tosses won, and captains have chosen to bat in 14 of 22 men's T20 tosses at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval (2023–2024). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bats first at 73%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval?

In 21 decided men's T20 matches at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval in our data, the side batting second won 8 (38.1%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

We weigh three things: how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss (recent seasons count most), and the start time — an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first. Each is weighed against the men's T20 average (61%) so that a small sample cannot produce an extreme number. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.

More toss predictions

Last updated: 2026-09-24. Published 2026-09-24.

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