Toss predictions
CAYM v BHM Bat first 69% 24/9 19:30 GH v SLE Bat first 56% 25/9 09:00 BHM v BER Bat first 84% 25/9 15:00 NGA v GH Bat first 73% 26/9 13:00

Bahamas vs Bermuda Toss Prediction

North American Cup, 2026 · 5th Match · Friday, 25 September 2026 · 15:00 UTC (10:00 local) · Jimmy Powell Oval, George Town

Toss prediction from ground record, toss habits and start time

What will the toss winner choose?

Bat first · 84% bat-first

Bat first — captains have chosen to bat in 20 of 25 men's T20 tosses at Jimmy Powell Oval (2025–2026), and Bermuda have batted in 7 of their last 10 tosses won. Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bats first at 84%.

Based on
Ground record, toss habits and start time
Tosses at this ground
25
Chose to field
20.0%
Period
2025–2026

Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.

What we looked at

Bowl first 16% Bat first 84%
  • Captains bat first here. 20 of 25 toss winners have batted at Jimmy Powell Oval since 2025 (80%).(points to batting first)
  • Both sides like to bat first. Bahamas have batted in 6 of their last 10 tosses won; Bermuda have batted in 7 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to batting first)
  • No dew. Daytime start (10:00 local): conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
  • Chasing wins here. 14 of 25 decided men's T20 matches went to the side batting second (56%).(points to bowling first)
  • Our call: bat first — 84%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to batting first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, amber to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 10 tosses at Jimmy Powell Oval

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2026-03-15ArgentinaBatCayman IslandsYes
2026-03-15SurinameFieldSurinameYes
2026-03-14SurinameBatCayman IslandsYes
2026-03-14ArgentinaBatArgentinaNo
2026-03-12SurinameBatArgentinaYes
2026-03-12Cayman IslandsBatCayman IslandsNo
2026-03-11MexicoFieldArgentinaNo
2026-03-11Cayman IslandsFieldCayman IslandsYes
2026-03-09MexicoBatCayman IslandsYes
2026-03-09ArgentinaBatArgentinaNo

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

Bahamas have chosen to field in 6 of the 18 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 4 field).

Bermuda have chosen to field in 7 of the 24 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 3 field).

Part of our call: it weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time.

Does the toss matter at Jimmy Powell Oval?

In 25 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 14 (56%).

Start: 15:00 UTC · 10:00 local time (day match).

How this BHM vs BER toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. We weigh how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss (recent seasons count most), and the start time — an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first. Each is weighed against the men's T20 average (61%) so that a handful of matches can never produce an extreme number. For this match we had this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time.

A fair word on what this is and is not: it is a probability, not a certainty. A call near 50% means the choice really is close. Every call here is checked in public once the toss decision is published.

Full method, dew and captaincy context: our toss decision framework.

BHM vs BER toss prediction FAQ

What is the BHM vs BER toss prediction?

Bat first — captains have chosen to bat in 20 of 25 men's T20 tosses at Jimmy Powell Oval (2025–2026), and Bermuda have batted in 7 of their last 10 tosses won. Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bats first at 84%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Jimmy Powell Oval?

In 25 decided men's T20 matches at Jimmy Powell Oval in our data, the side batting second won 14 (56%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

We weigh three things: how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss (recent seasons count most), and the start time — an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first. Each is weighed against the men's T20 average (61%) so that a small sample cannot produce an extreme number. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.

More toss predictions

Last updated: 2026-09-24. Published 2026-09-24.

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