Surrey vs Hampshire Toss Prediction (SUR vs HAM)

Friday, 5 June 2026 · 23:00 IST · Kia Oval, London · Blast

Last updated: 6 June 2026

Toss prediction page launched 5 June 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Surrey vs Hampshire match preview on 2 June 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "Expect the toss-winner to bowl first and chase."

What happened

Surrey elected to field

Stamped 6 Jun, 09:30 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Surrey won the match ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

🏟️ What the toss means at Kia Oval, London

Toss impact: HIGH chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 56% here

The toss went Surrey's way — they chose to field, so Surrey chase. In this branch our model makes Surrey 59.0% — fair odds 1.69 (HAM 2.44) against a pre-toss baseline of 55.0%.

How we made this Surrey vs Hampshire toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the venue field-first method.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for SUR vs HAM: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Surrey vs Hampshire prediction →

SUR vs HAM toss prediction FAQ

Who won the SUR vs HAM toss?

Surrey won the SUR vs HAM toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in SUR vs HAM?

Surrey chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the SUR vs HAM match odds?

Meaningfully. Kia Oval, London favours chasing (teams batting second win 56% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →