Surrey vs Middlesex Toss Prediction (SUR vs MID)

Our toss call

Bowl first

From our match preview

We expect the toss winner to field.

✓ Decision called · Surrey elected to field

By CricketPrediction.com ·

Toss result

Surrey won the toss and chose to bowl.

Middlesex bat first

Stamped 4 Jun, 09:30 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Surrey won by 8 wickets (with 35 balls remaining) ✓ match-winner prediction correct

Wednesday, 3 June 2026 · 23:00 IST · Kia Oval · Blast

From our match preview

Whichever side wins the toss is likely to bowl first to use the quick outfield as the ball softens.

🏟️ What the toss means at Kia Oval

Toss impact: HIGH chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 56% here

The toss went Surrey's way — they chose to field, so Surrey chase. In this branch our model makes Surrey 72.0% — fair odds 1.39 (MID 3.57) against a pre-toss baseline of 68.0%.

How we made this Surrey vs Middlesex toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss decision framework.

Toss prediction page launched 2 June 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Surrey vs Middlesex match preview.

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SUR vs MID toss prediction FAQ

Who won the SUR vs MID toss?

Surrey won the SUR vs MID toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in SUR vs MID?

Surrey chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the SUR vs MID match odds?

Meaningfully. Kia Oval favours chasing (teams batting second win 56% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

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More toss predictions

More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Who won the toss today → · Full prediction archive →

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