Guyana Amazon Warriors vs St Kitts and Nevis Patriots Prediction & Betting Tips

Guyana Amazon Warriors win at 66.7%.

Our AI model makes the Warriors clear favourites against St Kitts and Nevis Patriots at Providence Stadium on 6 September 2026. They play here for the second time in three days after their 4 September chase of 160 against Jamaica Kingsmen. The Patriots arrive after a 137-run win over St Lucia Kings on 3 September.

Why the Warriors are favourites on their own ground

Four Warriors wins in 2026 came chasing: 118 at Sabina Park on 13 August with 35 balls to spare, a seven-wicket win in Gros Islet on 19 August with 11 balls remaining, 117 in North Sound on 23 August, and 160 here, in the 4 September match, with 16 balls unused. The 31 August match at Queen's Park Oval was the one they won batting first, Shimron Hetmyer's 111 not out off 43 balls setting 185 before rain handed them a 9-run win on the DLS method.

The bowling has done the setting up. Mohammad Nabi took 4 for 22 at Sabina Park and 3 for 20 at Queen's Park Oval, Shamar Joseph 3 for 22 when Antigua and Barbuda Falcons were bowled out for 116, and Dwaine Pretorius 3 for 29 when St Lucia Kings were held to 151 for 7. The batting has been shared: Shai Hope 56 not out at Sabina Park and Mavendra Dindyal 50 in Gros Islet.

Can the Patriots carry their Warner Park form to Guyana?

At home the Patriots have been a different side. On 1 September they ran down Barbados Tridents' 217 for 4 with five balls to spare, Johnson Charles making 78 off 45. Two days later Dasun Shanaka's 121 off 43 balls and Andre Fletcher's 64 lifted them to 235 for 4, and Jeremiah Louis took 5 for 10 as the Kings were bowled out for 98.

Away from Basseterre it has been harder: bowled out for 130 chasing 182 at Sabina Park on 18 August, beaten by three wickets in North Sound on 20 August despite Shanaka's 49 off 17 balls. Their one away win came in Gros Islet on 12 August, when Jason Holder's 3 for 20 held the Kings to 155. Providence in the afternoon is slower than Warner Park.

Key Matchups: spin through the middle overs, and who cashes the powerplay

Mohammad Nabi vs Dasun Shanaka: Shanaka has scored at better than two runs a ball in two of his last three innings. Nabi has taken wickets inside the powerplay and through the middle overs this season, exactly where Shanaka attacks.

Jeremiah Louis vs Shai Hope: Louis took 5 for 10 in 2.5 overs against the Kings on 3 September. Hope has been the Warriors' anchor; remove him early and a Patriots total becomes defendable.

Shamar Joseph vs Johnson Charles: Charles's 78 off 45 balls set up the 1 September chase against the Tridents; Joseph took two or three wickets in each of the Warriors' first three wins. Charles against the new ball is the Patriots' fastest route to a testing total.

Match Analysis: three factors that will decide Warriors vs Patriots

The powerplay decides how much the Patriots can attack later. They made 235 for 4 when Shanaka and Fletcher got going on 3 September, and 130 all out when nobody did in the 18 August defeat at Sabina Park. The first six overs against Shamar Joseph and Dwaine Pretorius are where the visitors' total is built or lost.

The middle overs favour the Warriors. Nabi, Imran Tahir and Pretorius have squeezed three opponents into modest totals: the Falcons 116 all out, Jamaica 117 all out, the Kings 151 for 7. The Patriots have the batters to break that squeeze, but not yet on a surface this slow.

Then there is familiarity. The Warriors play their second match here inside 44 hours with the same bowlers and the same read of the surface.

Guyana Amazon Warriors vs St Kitts and Nevis Patriots Prediction: Warriors at home, by a clear margin

Our AI model gives the Warriors 66.7%. The reasoning is not the ledger between the clubs, which the Patriots won most recently, but the shape of this season: the Warriors have held four of their five 2026 opponents below 160 and chased those targets with balls to spare.

The price is a lean rather than a bet we would flag. Best available 1.60 sits above our fair 1.50, but the market as a whole has Guyana at almost exactly our fair, so bet small if at all. Whoever wins the toss will bowl, and the Patriots setting 150 or more would make this tighter than the number suggests.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Guyana Amazon Warriors vs St Kitts and Nevis Patriots in the Caribbean Premier League?

Our AI model predicts Guyana Amazon Warriors to win at Providence Stadium on 6 September 2026, with a 66.7% probability against 33.3% for the Patriots, because the Warriors have held four of their five 2026 opponents below 160 and chased those targets with balls to spare.

What is the toss prediction for the Warriors against the Patriots?

Field first. Our toss model measures a strong fielding preference from the tosses it holds for Providence Stadium. With a 15:00 start and no dew, the toss winner gains little.

What are the best odds for the Warriors against the Patriots at Providence?

The best available price on the Warriors is 1.60 against our fair odds of 1.50, and the Patriots are 2.50 against our fair 3.00. The market prices the favourite level with our fair, so 1.60 is a small lean rather than a value bet.

How does the toss affect the Warriors against the Patriots?

Very little. Our own record of Providence Stadium splits close to evenly between the two innings, so our number for the Warriors stays at 66.7% whichever side bats first.

When did the Patriots last beat the Warriors?

At Providence Stadium in the CPL 2025 match of 7 September 2025, when the Patriots made 149 for 6 and held the Warriors to 144 for 8 to win by five runs. This is the first meeting of 2026.