Gujarat Giants Women vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women Match Prediction

Royal Challengers Bengaluru arrive in Vadodara as the only unbeaten team in WPL 2026, having won all four matches including a 32-run victory over these same Gujarat Giants just three days ago. GG sit at 2-2 after a strong start faded against Mumbai Indians and RCB. The market prices RCB at 1.73, implying 57.8% - we see value at 65%.

Team Context and Recent Form

RCB's dominance this season extends beyond their 4-0 record. Against GG on January 16, they recovered from 43/4 to post 182/7, with Radha Yadav smashing 66 off 47 balls from number seven. Shreyanka Patil then dismantled GG's chase with 5/23 - the eighth five-wicket haul in WPL history. Smriti Mandhana leads the run charts with 166 runs at 55.33, and Georgia Voll added firepower with 54* on debut against Delhi.

Gujarat's challenge is finding answers they did not have three days ago. Sophie Devine has been brilliant (149 runs including 95 off 42 vs DC), but she knows RCB inside out from her 2023-2024 stint there. Ashleigh Gardner's captaincy faces scrutiny after GG allowed RCB to recover from 43/4. One critical matchup: Gardner has dismissed Mandhana 9 times in T20s - if she strikes early, this match shifts. Anushka Sharma remains doubtful with a hand injury.

Key Players to Watch

Our Prediction

RCB at 65% confidence. Their batting depth, proven rescue ability, and Patil's dominance over GG are decisive factors. However, the 100% chase win rate at this venue (6/6 WPL matches) makes the toss critical. GG need Gardner to dismiss Mandhana early and must protect wickets through Patil's spell - something they failed to do on January 16.

Betting Value

RCB at 1.73 offers +7.2% edge against our 65% probability. The market underestimates RCB's form and Patil's psychological advantage over GG's batting order. Stake: 1 unit on RCB-W. Key risk: if GG win the toss and chase, their probability rises to 38-40%. We accept this variance given the edge.