DC-W Delhi Capitals Women
MI-W Mumbai Indians Women
Womens Premier League
Delhi Capitals Women vs Mumbai Indians Women Match Prediction
Last updated: 19 January 2026
Mumbai Indians are 60% favourites to beat bottom-placed Delhi Capitals at BCA Stadium. DC-W have just one win from four matches (2 pts, -0.856 NRR) while MI-W sit second with four points despite a 2-3 record. Harmanpreet Kaur leads the WPL run charts with 199 runs. Amelia Kerr tops wickets with 10 scalps at economy 5.50.
Team Context and Recent Form
Mumbai Indians (2-3, 4 pts, 2nd): Lost to UP Warriorz by 22 runs on January 17, failing to chase 188. Nat Sciver-Brunt returned to the XI after illness, but could not prevent a third defeat. Harmanpreet and Kerr remain their match-winners. Beat DC by 50 runs on January 10 - Harmanpreet scored 56 off 36 (POTM), and DC were bowled out for 145.
Delhi Capitals (1-3, 2 pts, 5th): Lost to RCB by 8 wickets on January 17 after posting just 166. Captain Jemimah Rodrigues scored 39 but found no support. Chinelle Henry missed that match with injury (Lucy Hamilton debuted) - her availability for this fixture is uncertain. DC have failed to defend 132, 145, and 166 in their three losses. Their bowling lacks penetration against quality batting.
Key Players to Watch
| Player | Team | Role | Key Stat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harmanpreet Kaur (C) | MI-W | Batter | 199 runs, 56 vs DC-W |
| Amelia Kerr | MI-W | All-rounder | 10 wickets, 2/21 vs DC-W |
| Jemimah Rodrigues (C) | DC-W | Batter | 39 vs RCB, leads struggling lineup |
| Nat Sciver-Brunt | MI-W | All-rounder | Back from illness, fit and available |
Our Prediction
MI-W have dominated this fixture already, winning by 50 runs when these sides met on January 10. DC were bowled out for 145 chasing 196 - Harmanpreet and Kerr dismantled their middle order. With Henry potentially missing again and DC failing to post defendable totals, the pattern is clear. Clear Vadodara evening conditions favour chasers (dew expected), but MI-W have the firepower to win batting first or second.
Mumbai Indians at 60% confidence is our pick.
Betting Value
MI-W at 1.67 implies 59.9% probability. Our model gives MI-W 60%, creating a +0.1% edge. DC-W at 2.37 implies 42.2% against our 40%, offering no value either way.
This edge falls below our 2% threshold for a bet. The market has priced this correctly - MI-W dominance in the H2H (50-run win) and DC-W batting fragility are well understood by bookmakers. Sharp pricing reflects the reality. Mumbai Indians should complete the double over Delhi.
