Melbourne Stars Women vs Hobart Hurricanes Women Match 2 Prediction & Betting Tips

Our prediction

Hobart Hurricanes Women predicted to win with 57.8% probability

Hobart Hurricanes Women cricket team logo Hobart Hurricanes Women
58%
Lean
Melbourne Stars Women cricket team logoMelbourne Stars Women 42%

Junction Oval, Melbourne

Our match picks: 440 of 714 right →

Toss Prediction

Our toss call

Bowl first

We expect the toss winner to field.

Toss preview ›

Key Takeaways

  • • Hobart Hurricanes Women predicted to win with 57.8% probability
  • • Hobart Hurricanes Women, the defending champions, beat Perth Scorchers Women by 8 wickets in the WBBL|11 final (13 December 2025)
  • • Last season's two meetings were shared, with the Stars winning by 37 runs (26 November 2025) and the Hurricanes by 81 runs (1 December 2025)
  • • We expect the toss winner to bowl first (63%)
  • • The match-winner market is fairly priced, with the Hurricanes at 1.68 against our fair odds of 1.73

Hobart Hurricanes Women start their defence as favourites.

Our AI model gives Hobart Hurricanes Women a 57.8% chance of beating Melbourne Stars Women in Match 2 of the Women's Big Bash League 2026-27, at Junction Oval, Melbourne, on 29 October 2026 at 1:40 pm IST (08:10 UTC). That makes our fair odds 1.73 for the Hurricanes and 2.37 for the Stars. The champions return with a changed side, while the Stars have Meg Lanning back in charge.

Can Meg Lanning's return as captain lift Melbourne Stars Women?

Melbourne Stars Women went out of last season's finals in the Knockout, beaten by Perth Scorchers Women by 28 runs at the W.A.C.A. Ground, Perth, on 9 December 2025. The Scorchers made 173 for 5 in that game. The Stars replied with 145 for 9, and Meg Lanning top-scored with 49 off 45 balls in that 9 December 2025 Knockout.

Lanning takes over the captaincy again for WBBL|12 after Annabel Sutherland stepped down. The Stars also lost their South African all-rounder, who pulled out of the final year of her contract. They signed England off-spinning all-rounder Charlie Dean in her place, for her first Big Bash season. Kim Garth re-signed with the club.

In the T20 Spring Challenge in Sydney, the Stars beat ACT Women by 4 wickets on 17 October 2026. A day later they chased down Sydney Sixers Women's 155 for 8, finishing on 158 for 5 to win by 5 wickets on 18 October 2026.

Hobart Hurricanes Women defend their first title with a changed side

Hobart Hurricanes Women won their first WBBL title on 13 December 2025, beating Perth Scorchers Women by 8 wickets in the WBBL|11 final at Bellerive Oval, Hobart. The Scorchers won the toss, batted and made 137 for 5. The Hurricanes made 141 for 2 in 15 overs, and Lizelle Lee was Player of the Match with 77 not out off 44 balls in that 13 December 2025 final.

The title side has changed. Last season's captain has retired from the competition, and two England internationals are missing from this season's list. One is sitting out WBBL|12 after an injury-hampered summer at home, and the other was ruled out through injury days before the season opener.

Hobart have signed Sri Lankan all-rounder Chamari Athapaththu from Sydney Thunder, and England's Linsey Smith is confirmed to return. Lee, Molly Strano, Nicola Carey and Heather Graham are all on the Hurricanes' list for WBBL|12.

Key Matchups: Amy Jones and Sophie Day against the Hurricanes, Lizelle Lee against the Stars' bowlers

Amy Jones vs the Hurricanes' attack: Amy Jones made 59 off 40 balls against Hobart Hurricanes Women at Junction Oval on 26 November 2025 and was named Player of the Match. That innings set up the Stars' 151 for 6.

Sophie Day vs the Hurricanes' batting: In that same 26 November 2025 game, Sophie Day took 4 for 17 in 3.2 overs against Hobart Hurricanes Women. Annabel Sutherland added 2 for 26 against the Hurricanes that day.

Molly Strano and Linsey Smith vs the Stars' batting: Molly Strano took 5 for 16 in 3 overs against Melbourne Stars Women at Bellerive Oval on 1 December 2025. Linsey Smith took 2 for 29 against the Stars in the same game.

Lizelle Lee vs Charlie Dean: Lizelle Lee made 77 not out off 44 balls against the Scorchers in the 13 December 2025 final. Charlie Dean, an England off-spinning all-rounder, joins the Stars for her first Big Bash season.

🤝 Head-to-Head Record

Melbourne Stars Women and Hobart Hurricanes Women met twice in WBBL|11, and each side won one of those two meetings. At Junction Oval on 26 November 2025, Hobart Hurricanes Women won the toss and bowled. Melbourne Stars Women made 151 for 6 in 20 overs. The Hurricanes were then all out for 114 in 16.2 overs, and the Stars won by 37 runs.

The return game at Bellerive Oval, Hobart, on 1 December 2025 was cut to 17 overs a side. Melbourne Stars Women won the toss and bowled. Hobart Hurricanes Women made 176 for 4 in their 17 overs. The Stars were all out for 98 in 15.5 overs, and the Hurricanes won by 81 runs (DLS method).

🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss

Junction Oval, Melbourne stages both games of the opening day. Melbourne Renegades Women play Sydney Thunder Women there at 04:40 UTC, before this game starts at 08:10 UTC.

  • Pitch: In the 26 November 2025 meeting at Junction Oval, Melbourne Stars Women batted first, made 151 for 6 and beat Hobart Hurricanes Women by 37 runs.
  • Start: 1:40 pm IST (08:10 UTC), an evening start in Melbourne.
  • Toss: Toss call: Field first — we expect the toss winner to bowl at this evening start, at 63%. Hobart Hurricanes Women won the toss and bowled at Junction Oval on 26 November 2025, and Melbourne Stars Women did the same at Bellerive Oval in the 1 December 2025 return game. See our public toss call for MS-W vs HH-W on the dedicated page.

Match Analysis: Where Melbourne Stars Women vs Hobart Hurricanes Women will be won and lost

The bowling decided both of last season's meetings. Sophie Day took 4 for 17 in the Stars' 37-run win (26 November 2025), and Molly Strano took 5 for 16 in the Hurricanes' 81-run win (1 December 2025). Both bowlers are on their clubs' lists again for WBBL|12.

With last season's captain retired and two England internationals missing, we expect more of the Hurricanes' runs to come from Lizelle Lee and Chamari Athapaththu. The Stars made re-signing Annabel Sutherland, Meg Lanning and Kim Garth their first priority, and Amy Jones returns as one of their England players.

Our AI model still makes Hobart Hurricanes Women favourites at 57.8%, and the champions keep Lee, Strano, Linsey Smith and Nicola Carey on their list.

Melbourne Stars Women vs Hobart Hurricanes Women prediction: Hurricanes favoured at a fair price

Our AI model picks Hobart Hurricanes Women to win at 57.8%, with Melbourne Stars Women at 42.2%. The Hurricanes would need a price above 1.73 to offer value, and the Stars a price above 2.37.

At 1.68 for the Hurricanes and 2.19 for the Stars, both prices sit below those marks. The live angle is the toss, where we expect the toss winner to bowl first, at 63%.

📊 Odds & Betting Value

Team Our Model Market Implied Odds Fair Odds
Melbourne Stars Women 42.2% 42.9% 2.19 2.37
Hobart Hurricanes Women 57.8% 57.1% 1.68 1.73

The match-winner market is fairly priced. The Hurricanes' 1.68 sits below our fair odds of 1.73, and the Stars' 2.19 sits below their fair 2.37. The market broadly agrees with our call, making Hobart Hurricanes Women 57.1% favourites against our 57.8%, a gap of 0.7 points.

Our prediction ↑

Women's Big Bash League

Melbourne Stars Women vs Hobart Hurricanes Womenodds

29 Oct 2026 · 13:40 IST

Match winner: Melbourne Stars Women 2.19 at Dafabet; Hobart Hurricanes Women 1.68 at Dafabet; checked 07:55–08:00 IST.

Melbourne Stars Women vs Hobart Hurricanes Women — Match winner
Bookmaker1MS-W2HH-WPayout
Dafabet
1 · Melbourne Stars Women 2.192 · Hobart Hurricanes Women 1.68Payout95.1%
WinWin
1 · Melbourne Stars Women 2.182 · Hobart Hurricanes Women 1.66Payout94.5%
Melbet
1 · Melbourne Stars Women 2.182 · Hobart Hurricanes Women 1.66Payout94.5%
Megapari
1 · Melbourne Stars Women 2.182 · Hobart Hurricanes Women 1.66Payout94.5%
Paripesa
1 · Melbourne Stars Women 2.182 · Hobart Hurricanes Women 1.66Payout94.5%
PlanBet
1 · Melbourne Stars Women 2.182 · Hobart Hurricanes Women 1.66Payout94.5%
1xBet
1 · Melbourne Stars Women 2.182 · Hobart Hurricanes Women 1.66Payout94.5%
Highest1 · Melbourne Stars Women2.192 · Hobart Hurricanes Women1.68Payout–
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Melbourne Stars Women vs Hobart Hurricanes Women in the Women's Big Bash League?

Our AI model picks Hobart Hurricanes Women to beat Melbourne Stars Women at 57.8% in Match 2 of the Women's Big Bash League 2026-27 at Junction Oval on 29 October 2026. The Hurricanes won the 13 December 2025 WBBL|11 final against Perth Scorchers Women by 8 wickets.

What is the toss prediction for Melbourne Stars Women vs Hobart Hurricanes Women?

We expect the toss winner to bowl first at 63% for Melbourne Stars Women vs Hobart Hurricanes Women on 29 October 2026. Both toss winners chose to bowl in the two WBBL|11 meetings (26 November 2025 and 1 December 2025).

What are the odds for Melbourne Stars Women vs Hobart Hurricanes Women?

Hobart Hurricanes Women are 1.68 and Melbourne Stars Women 2.19 for their 29 October 2026 game. Our fair odds are 1.73 for the Hurricanes and 2.37 for the Stars, so the match-winner market is fairly priced.

What happened when Melbourne Stars Women and Hobart Hurricanes Women met in WBBL|11?

They split their two WBBL|11 meetings, one win each. Melbourne Stars Women won by 37 runs at Junction Oval on 26 November 2025, and Hobart Hurricanes Women won by 81 runs (DLS method) at Bellerive Oval on 1 December 2025.

Who won the WBBL|11 final?

Hobart Hurricanes Women won the WBBL|11 final, beating Perth Scorchers Women by 8 wickets at Bellerive Oval, Hobart, on 13 December 2025. Lizelle Lee made 77 not out off 44 balls and was Player of the Match.

Who captains Melbourne Stars Women in WBBL|12?

Meg Lanning captains Melbourne Stars Women in WBBL|12 after Annabel Sutherland stepped down from the role. Lanning made 49 off 45 balls in the Stars' 9 December 2025 Knockout defeat by Perth Scorchers Women.

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