Janakpur Bolts (NPL) vs Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) Match 5 Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
Kathmandu Gorkhas predicted to win with 57.3% probability
Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL)
Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 43%Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We expect the toss winner to field.
Toss preview ›Key Takeaways
- • Kathmandu Gorkhas predicted to win with 57.3% probability
- • Karnali Yaks beat Janakpur Bolts by 19 runs in Janakpur's 2026 opener (27 October 2026), after Janakpur chose to field
- • Kathmandu won the most recent meeting, by 5 wickets at Kirtipur (17 November 2025)
- • We expect the toss winner to field first (63%)
- • The match-winner market is fairly priced, with Kathmandu at 1.66 against our fair odds of 1.75
Kathmandu Gorkhas to edge Janakpur Bolts at Kirtipur.
Our AI model gives Kathmandu Gorkhas a 57.3% chance of beating Janakpur Bolts in the 5th Match of the Nepal Premier League 2026 at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur, on 29 October 2026, at 12:15 pm IST (06:45 UTC). It is Kathmandu's first game of the season, the market also leans their way, and the toss is the angle worth a look.
Can Janakpur Bolts recover from their opening defeat?
Janakpur Bolts opened their 2026 season against Karnali Yaks on 27 October 2026. They won the toss and fielded. Karnali Yaks made 132 for 9 in 20 overs.
Janakpur were all out for 113 in 19.3 overs in reply, and Karnali won by 19 runs. Abhisekh Tiwari made the top score of that chase, 20 off 17 balls against Karnali Yaks (27 October 2026).
Harmeet Singh made 19 off 13 balls in the same game against Karnali, on 27 October 2026. Moeen Ali made 19 off 22 against Karnali in that opener, so Janakpur need a bigger innings from someone.
On 2 December 2025, Chitwan Rhinos chose to bat against Janakpur and made 176 for 4. Janakpur reached 180 for 4 in 17.3 overs and won by 6 wickets.
Five days later (7 December 2025), Janakpur won the toss and fielded against Karnali Yaks, who made 129 for 9. Janakpur finished on 126 for 7 and lost by 3 runs.
Can Kathmandu Gorkhas start fast after their 2025 exit?
Kathmandu Gorkhas play their first game of the 2026 season here, while Janakpur play their second. David Warner is in Kathmandu's squad for 2026.
Their 2025 campaign ended in the Eliminator (10 December 2025). Kathmandu won the toss and batted, and were all out for 111 in 19.1 overs. Lumbini Lions made 112 for 6 in 17.4 overs and won by 4 wickets.
Kathmandu beat Pokhara Avengers by 13 runs at the same ground (4 December 2025). Pokhara won the toss and fielded, and Kathmandu made 165 for 8 in 20 overs. Bhim Sharki made 55 off 23 balls against Pokhara Avengers on 4 December 2025 and was Player of the Match.
Pokhara were then all out for 152 in their 20 overs. That win came setting a total, and the 5-wicket victory over Janakpur on 17 November 2025 came chasing one.
Key matchups: Bhim Sharki against Moeen Ali, Mayan Yadav against Kathmandu's attack
Bhim Sharki vs Moeen Ali: Bhim Sharki made 55 off 23 balls against Pokhara Avengers (4 December 2025). Moeen Ali made 19 off 22 against Karnali Yaks on 27 October 2026, and Janakpur need far more from him if Bhim Sharki gets going.
Mayan Yadav vs Kathmandu's attack: Mayan Yadav made 34 not out off 29 balls against Kathmandu Gorkhas on 17 November 2025. He made 14 off 11 against Karnali Yaks in Janakpur's 2026 opener (27 October 2026).
Harmeet Singh vs David Warner: Harmeet Singh made 19 off 13 balls against Karnali Yaks on 27 October 2026. David Warner is in Kathmandu's 2026 squad, and this is Kathmandu's first game of the season.
🤝 Head-to-Head Record
In the Nepal Premier League, Janakpur Bolts beat Kathmandu by 5 wickets at Kirtipur on 12 December 2024. Kathmandu won the toss and batted, and were all out for 101 in 19.3 overs. Janakpur made 104 for 5 in 15.5 overs in reply.
Kathmandu Gorkhas won the second meeting, at Kirtipur on 17 November 2025, by 5 wickets with 12 balls remaining. Kathmandu won the toss and fielded, and Janakpur made 130 for 6 in 20 overs. Kathmandu made 131 for 5 in 18 overs in reply.
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur hosts every game of the Nepal Premier League 2026.
- Pitch: Lumbini Lions bowled Sudurpaschim Royals out for 87 in 17.2 overs on 26 October 2026. Lumbini then made 88 for 3 in 9.5 overs and won by 7 wickets. Chitwan Rhinos beat Biratnagar Kings by 8 runs in the day game on 27 October 2026. Karnali Yaks defended 132 for 9 against Janakpur in the evening game of 27 October 2026. Pokhara Avengers made 145 for 7 on 28 October 2026. Sudurpaschim Royals reached 148 for 4 in 16.5 overs and won by 6 wickets.
- Start: 12:15 pm IST (06:45 UTC), a day game.
- Toss: Toss call: Field first — we expect the toss winner to field, at 63%. Lumbini Lions fielded after winning the toss against Sudurpaschim Royals on 26 October 2026. Janakpur Bolts also chose to field on winning the toss against Karnali Yaks on 27 October 2026. Sudurpaschim Royals fielded after winning the toss against Pokhara Avengers on 28 October 2026. See our JAB vs KAG toss call, locked in before the coin lands.
Match analysis: where Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gorkhas will be won and lost
Both earlier meetings went to the chasing side, Janakpur in the 12 December 2024 game and Kathmandu on 17 November 2025. At Kirtipur this season, the chasing side won on 26 October and 28 October 2026, and the side batting first won both games on 27 October 2026.
Janakpur's route starts with more runs than the 113 they made against Karnali Yaks on 27 October 2026. Their 6-wicket win over Chitwan Rhinos on 2 December 2025 shows the batting can score at this ground.
Kathmandu's route is the one Bhim Sharki showed against Pokhara Avengers in the 4 December 2025 game: quick runs that set a total Janakpur would have to chase. With David Warner in the squad, Kathmandu have the batting to try it.
Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gorkhas prediction: Kathmandu narrowly, with the toss as the angle
Our AI model makes Kathmandu Gorkhas 57% favourites for the 5th Match at Kirtipur. Both prices sit below our fair odds, so the match-winner market is fairly priced, and the angle is the toss, where we expect the toss winner to field first (63%).
📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janakpur Bolts | 42.7% | 42.7% | 2.17 | 2.34 |
| Kathmandu Gorkhas | 57.3% | 57.3% | 1.66 | 1.75 |
The match-winner market is fairly priced. Kathmandu's 1.66 sits below our fair odds of 1.75, and Janakpur's 2.17 sits below their fair 2.34. The market agrees with our call, making Kathmandu Gorkhas 57.3% favourites. Odds captured 28 October 2026.
Nepal Premier League
Janakpur Bolts (NPL) vs Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL)odds
29 Oct 2026 · 12:15 IST
Match winner: Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.17 at Dafabet; Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; checked 04:00–04:03 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1JAB | 2KAG | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.17 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.66 | Payout94.1% |
 | 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 | Payout94.5% |
 | 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 | Payout94.5% |
| Highest | 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL)2.17 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL)1.71 | Payout– |
1X2: Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11, Tie 25.00, Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; checked 04:00 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1JAB | XTie | 2KAG | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 | Payout91.2% |
| 1 · Janakpur Bolts (NPL) 2.11 | X · Tie 25.00 | 2 · Kathmandu Gorkhas (NPL) 1.71 | Payout91.2% |
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gorkhas in the Nepal Premier League?
Our AI model predicts Kathmandu Gorkhas to beat Janakpur Bolts, with a 57.3% win probability, in the 5th Match at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur (29 October 2026). Kathmandu beat Janakpur by 5 wickets when the sides met on 17 November 2025.
What is the toss prediction for Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gorkhas?
We expect the toss winner to field first in Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gorkhas, at 63%. The game at Kirtipur starts at 12:15 pm IST (06:45 UTC) on 29 October 2026.
What are the odds for Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gorkhas?
At the time of writing, 28 October 2026, Janakpur Bolts were priced at 2.17 and Kathmandu Gorkhas at 1.66, against our fair odds of 2.34 and 1.75. Both prices sit below our fair odds, so the match-winner market is fairly priced.
Have Janakpur Bolts and Kathmandu Gorkhas met before?
Yes, twice in the Nepal Premier League. Janakpur Bolts beat Kathmandu by 5 wickets at Kirtipur on 12 December 2024, and Kathmandu Gorkhas beat Janakpur by 5 wickets at Kirtipur on 17 November 2025.
How did Janakpur Bolts do in their last game?
Karnali Yaks beat Janakpur Bolts by 19 runs on 27 October 2026. Janakpur won the toss and fielded. Karnali Yaks made 132 for 9. Janakpur were then all out for 113 in 19.3 overs.
How did Kathmandu Gorkhas end their 2025 season?
Lumbini Lions beat Kathmandu Gorkhas by 4 wickets in the Eliminator at Kirtipur on 10 December 2025. Kathmandu won the toss, batted and were all out for 111 in 19.1 overs.
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