Indian Premier League
Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants Match Result & Analysis
SRH Sunrisers Hyderabad
LSG Lucknow Super Giants
Rajiv Gandhi International Cricket Stadium, Dehra Dun, Uttarakhand
Our pre-match prediction 🎯 11/23 IPL predictions correct📝 Pre-Match Key Takeaways
- • Sunrisers Hyderabad predicted to win with 57% probability — home advantage and 226/8 momentum
- • SRH scored 226/8 and bowled KKR out for 161. Nitish Kumar Reddy took 2/17 and scored 39 — Player of the Match
- • LSG collapsed to 141 all out vs DC. Their batting needs a reset.
- • Mohammed Shami was traded FROM SRH to LSG — he knows the SRH batters' weaknesses
- • Hyderabad has a 57% chase win rate in IPL (83 matches). Dew factor is real.
- • If LSG set a total: SRH at 1.80 offers +4.6% edge. Pre-toss: marginal.
Lucknow Super Giants won by 5 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)
We predicted Sunrisers Hyderabad at 57%
How our prediction shifts based on batting order. Plan your bet before the toss.
- Pant plays a match-defining innings (80+) — he has the ability to single-handedly win games
- Shami exploits his knowledge of SRH batters and takes early wickets in the powerplay
- Cummins doesn't return — SRH's bowling without their captain is thinner
SRH's 226-Run Statement: Are They the Team to Beat?
After losing to RCB in the opener — where SRH posted 201/9 but couldn't defend it as Kohli and Padikkal chased 202 in 15.4 overs — Sunrisers needed a response. They delivered emphatically against KKR at Eden Gardens. SRH posted 226/8 — Heinrich Klaasen anchored the innings with a half-century, Nitish Kumar Reddy contributed 39, and the scoring rate never dropped below 11 an over. Then they bowled KKR out for 161. Reddy followed his batting with 2/17, earning Player of the Match. Jaydev Unadkat picked up late wickets to seal a 65-run victory — the biggest winning margin in IPL 2026 so far. Ishan Kishan has been leading the side as interim captain while Pat Cummins recovers from a lumbar stress injury. Kishan's own form has been strong — he scored 80 off 38 against RCB in Match 1. Whether Cummins returns for this match could shift the balance significantly. With Cummins, SRH have a world-class death bowler and tactical captain. Without him, they rely on Harshal Patel and Unadkat to close innings. SRH at home is a different beast. The Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium in Hyderabad produced a record 286/6 by SRH against RR in 2025 — the highest total at this venue. Abhishek Sharma's 141 against PBKS in 2025 is the highest individual score here. When SRH bat at home, bowlers suffer.LSG's 141 All Out: What Went Wrong Against DC?
Lucknow Super Giants were bowled out for 141 in their only match — against Delhi Capitals on April 1. Lungi Ngidi (3/27) and T Natarajan (3/29) dismantled the batting. Mitchell Marsh top-scored with 35 off 28, Abdul Samad added 36 off 25, but nobody anchored the innings. The concerning part: DC were 26/4 in the chase and still won by 6 wickets with 17 balls to spare. Sameer Rizvi's unbeaten 70 off 47 took the game away. LSG set a gettable total and then couldn't even defend it when DC collapsed early. That's a troubling sign. The one bright spot: Mohammed Shami's return. Traded from SRH to LSG before the season for Rs 10 crore, Shami took 1/28 in 4 overs (economy 7.00) on his LSG debut. He dismissed KL Rahul (now at DC) on the first ball of the chase. Shami at full fitness is one of the best fast bowlers in IPL history. Against his former team SRH, he knows every batter's weakness — Kishan's tendency to play across the line, Abhishek's aggression against pace, Klaasen's struggle against inswingers. Rishabh Pant, LSG's marquee captain, needs a big performance. Nicholas Pooran adds explosive middle-order power. If LSG's batting can post 180+, their bowling — Shami, Avesh Khan, Ravi Bishnoi, Mayank Yadav — has enough quality to defend. The question is whether the batting can deliver after the 141 collapse.Key Matchups: Shami's Insider Knowledge vs SRH's Firepower
Three battles will shape this contest. 1. Shami vs Klaasen and Head in the powerplay. Shami spent years bowling to these batters in SRH nets. He knows Klaasen's trigger movements and Head's preference for width. If Shami can strike early — especially getting Klaasen before he settles — LSG gain a psychological edge. But Shami at 7.00 economy vs DC wasn't at his peak. The question is how much of his insider knowledge translates to match-day performance. 2. Abhishek Sharma vs Bishnoi in the middle overs. Abhishek is devastating at home — his 141 against PBKS in 2025 came on this ground. Bishnoi's leg-spin is LSG's primary spin weapon. Abhishek will look to attack from ball one. If Bishnoi can contain him through overs 7-10, LSG have a chance. If Abhishek gets going, 200+ is inevitable. 3. Nitish Kumar Reddy vs LSG's middle order. Reddy's 2/17 against KKR showed his all-round value. His medium pace with subtle variations can trouble Marsh, Samad, and Pooran in the middle overs. He's not a frontline bowler, but his wicket-taking ability in non-obvious phases of the game gives SRH an edge that LSG's all-rounders (Krunal Pandya) don't match.🤝 Head-to-Head Record
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium has hosted 83 IPL matches. Chasing teams have won 57% of the time — the dew factor is significant in evening matches. In IPL 2025, 14 matches produced 200+ totals here. The pitch is flat with good bounce, favouring stroke-makers.
🪙 Toss recommendation: Bowl first. Dew makes bowling harder in the second innings. SRH scored 286/6 here in 2025 — this is a ground where 200+ is routine. Expect both captains to prefer chasing.
Records: Highest total: 286/6 SRH vs RR (2025). Highest individual: 141 Abhishek Sharma (2025). Highest chase: 247/2 SRH vs PBKS. Top scorer: David Warner (1,623 runs). Top wicket-taker: Bhuvneshwar Kumar (48).
Rajiv Gandhi International Cricket Stadium, Hyderabad · 39,200 capacity
Full Guide →55m – 71m boundaries
163
Avg 1st Innings
57%
Chase Win Rate
60%
Toss → Field
⚡ Chase advantage tonight: +7% over base rate. Bowl first. Back the chaser.
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium has hosted 83+ IPL matches. The 39,200-capacity Hyderabad ground has a 57% chase win rate and since 2024, the highest-scoring stretch in IPL history.
Match Analysis: Why SRH's Home Record Outweighs LSG's H2H Advantage
LSG lead the head-to-head 4-2. On paper, that should give them confidence. But context matters. Three of LSG's four wins came in 2022-23, when both squads looked completely different. KL Rahul was LSG's anchor — he's now at DC. Quinton de Kock was their opener — gone. The LSG that beat SRH 4 times barely resembles the current squad. SRH at home is a different calculation. They scored 286/6 against RR in 2025 — the highest IPL total at this ground. Abhishek Sharma's 141 came here. The 226/8 against KKR (albeit away) shows their batting ceiling remains enormous. At Hyderabad, with the dew factor and a flat pitch, SRH's aggressive batting approach — Head, Klaasen, Abhishek all striking at 150+ — is perfectly suited. LSG's 141 all out against DC is the bigger concern. It wasn't that DC bowled brilliantly — Ngidi and Natarajan are good but not unplayable. LSG's batting simply failed to build partnerships. Marsh scored 35 and Samad 36, but nobody converted a start into a match-shaping innings. Against SRH's bowling at home — even without Cummins — that tendency to collapse could be exposed again.SRH vs LSG Prediction: Home Firepower Meets Away Fragility
Sunrisers Hyderabad at 57% reflects home advantage, recent form, and batting depth. Their 226/8 against KKR was a statement. Klaasen is in form. Nitish Reddy is contributing with bat and ball. Abhishek Sharma at home is a force multiplier. And if Cummins returns, the bowling attack goes from good to formidable. LSG's counter is Shami's insider knowledge and a bowling attack that includes Bishnoi and Mayank Yadav. If Pant fires with the bat and Shami delivers with the new ball, LSG can compete. But their 141 all out against DC suggests the batting is fragile. The market has SRH at 1.80 (implied 55.6%). Our model sits at 57%. Pre-toss, the edge is +1.4% — marginal. If LSG are asked to set a total, SRH's chase probability rises to 61% and 1.80 becomes +4.6% value. If SRH bat first, their ability to post 200+ means LSG face a tough chase even with dew. Our prediction: Sunrisers Hyderabad to win. Back SRH if LSG set a total. Pre-toss, lean SRH but the edge is thin. Shami vs his former team adds a storyline, but SRH's home firepower is the deciding factor.📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Best Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunrisers Hyderabad | 57% | 55.6% | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| Lucknow Super Giants | 43% | 44.4% | 2.25 | 2.33 |
Marginal pre-toss value on SRH. SRH at 1.80 vs fair odds of 1.75 gives +1.4% edge — below our 2% threshold. If LSG set a total, SRH's probability rises to 61% and 1.80 becomes +4.6% value. LSG at 2.25 is below fair (2.33) — no value in any scenario. Odds from 27 bookmakers including DafaBet.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SRH vs LSG on April 5, 2026?
Our AI model predicts Sunrisers Hyderabad to win with 57% probability. SRH come off a dominant 65-run win over KKR (226/8 vs 161ao), while LSG were bowled out for 141 against DC. SRH's home advantage at Hyderabad adds to their edge.
What is the toss prediction for SRH vs LSG?
Bowl first. Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium has a 57% chase win rate across 83 IPL matches. Evening dew makes bowling harder in the second innings. Expect both captains to field first.
What are the best odds for SRH vs LSG?
SRH are available at 1.80 best across 27 bookmakers. LSG at 2.25. Our fair odds are SRH 1.75, LSG 2.33. If LSG bat first, SRH at 1.80 offers +4.6% edge. Pre-toss, the edge is marginal (+1.4%).
Is Pat Cummins playing for SRH?
Uncertain. Cummins missed the first two matches with a lumbar stress injury. Ishan Kishan has been leading as interim captain. Cummins may return for this match, which would strengthen SRH's bowling and death-overs control significantly.
How did Mohammed Shami perform against his former team?
Shami was traded from SRH to LSG before IPL 2026 for Rs 10 crore. On his LSG debut against DC, he took 1/28 in 4 overs at 7.00 economy. He knows SRH's batters from years of training together — a potential advantage for LSG.
What is the average score at Rajiv Gandhi Stadium in IPL?
The average first-innings score is around 165 across 83 IPL matches. In 2025, the venue produced 14 totals over 200. The highest total is 286/6 by SRH vs RR (2025). The highest individual score is 141 by Abhishek Sharma. This is one of IPL's most batting-friendly venues.
Who leads the SRH vs LSG head-to-head?
LSG lead 4-2 in 6 IPL meetings since LSG joined in 2022. However, both squads have changed significantly — KL Rahul is now at DC, Shami moved from SRH to LSG. SRH's last win was a 10-wicket demolition in Hyderabad in May 2024.
