🇦🇺 BBL
ST Sydney Thunder
52%
VS
MR Melbourne Renegades
48%
Sydney Showground Stadium, Sydney Showground Stadium
Big Bash League
Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades Match Prediction
Last updated: 3 January 2026
Close Call Model tips Sydney Thunder at 52% (fair odds 1.92)
Prediction: Sydney Thunder (52%)
In this tightly-contested clash between Sydney Thunder and Melbourne Renegades at the Sydney Showground Stadium, both teams are evenly matched with a slight edge for Sydney Thunder, predicted to win at 55% confidence. With both sides showing promising numbers in different phases, this promises to be a close-fought encounter.
In the powerplay, Sydney Thunder's batsmen have shown impressive form with a runs per over rate (RPO) of 8.58 compared to Melbourne Renegades' 6.43. However, in the death overs, the Renegades have demonstrated better control, conceding only 7.37 RPO as opposed to Sydney Thunder's 10.32. These fine margins could prove crucial in determining the outcome of this match.
In the powerplay, Sydney Thunder's batsmen have shown impressive form with a runs per over rate (RPO) of 8.58 compared to Melbourne Renegades' 6.43. However, in the death overs, the Renegades have demonstrated better control, conceding only 7.37 RPO as opposed to Sydney Thunder's 10.32. These fine margins could prove crucial in determining the outcome of this match.
