Ghana vs Sierra Leone Toss Prediction
Quadrangular T20I Series in Nigeria, 2026 · 4th Match · Friday, 25 September 2026 · 09:00 UTC (10:00 local) · Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval, Lagos
Toss prediction from this ground's history
What will the toss winner choose?
Bat first · 56% bat-first
Bat first — captains have chosen to bat in 14 of 22 men's T20 tosses at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval (63.6%, 2023–2024). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bats first at 56%.
- Based on
- This ground's toss history
- Tosses at this ground
- 22
- Chose to field
- 36.4%
- Period
- 2023–2024
Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.
Why bat first here
- Captains bat first here. 14 of 22 toss winners have batted at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval since 2023 (64%).
- No dew. Daytime start (10:00 local): conditions hold for both innings.
- Batting first wins here. Only 8 of 21 chasing sides have won (38.1%).
- Our call: bat first — 56%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.
Last 10 tosses at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-24 | Nigeria | Bat | Nigeria | No |
| 2024-11-23 | Sierra Leone | Bat | Sierra Leone | No |
| 2024-11-23 | Botswana | Bat | Botswana | No |
| 2023-10-15 | Nigeria | Bat | Nigeria | No |
| 2023-10-15 | Ghana | Bat | Sierra Leone | Yes |
| 2023-10-14 | Sierra Leone | Field | Ghana | No |
| 2023-10-14 | Nigeria | Field | Nigeria | Yes |
| 2023-10-12 | Sierra Leone | Field | Nigeria | No |
| 2023-10-12 | Ghana | Bat | Rwanda | Yes |
| 2023-10-11 | Sierra Leone | Bat | Rwanda | Yes |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
What each side tends to do
Ghana have chosen to field in 14 of the 27 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 5 field).
Sierra Leone have chosen to field in 14 of the 26 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 6 field).
Shown for context. Our call rests on the ground's history, not on the sides.
Does the toss matter at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval?
In 21 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 8 (38.1%).
Start: 09:00 UTC · 10:00 local time (day match).
How this GH vs SLE toss prediction is made
We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. We start from how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, and blend it with the men's T20 average (61%) so that a handful of matches can never produce an extreme number. The sample size and period are always shown beside the figure.
A fair word on what this is and is not: in some seasons the ground-based call beats "always bowl first" by a few points, in others it does not. What it does reliably is put the right probability on the right ground — and every call here is checked in public once the toss decision is published.
Full method, dew and captaincy context: how the toss call is built.
GH vs SLE toss prediction FAQ
What is the GH vs SLE toss prediction?
Bat first — captains have chosen to bat in 14 of 22 men's T20 tosses at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval (63.6%, 2023–2024). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bats first at 56%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.
Does winning the toss matter at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval?
In 21 decided men's T20 matches at Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval in our data, the side batting second won 8 (38.1%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.
How is this toss prediction made?
We start from how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, and blend it with the men's T20 average (61%) so that a small sample cannot produce an extreme number. The sample size and period are shown with every figure. The result is added within minutes of the toss and stays on this page.
What happened at the toss?
The toss has not happened yet. This page updates within minutes of it, and the result is recorded against the call above.
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Last updated: 2026-09-23. Published 2026-09-23.
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