China vs Hong Kong, China Toss Prediction

Our toss call

Bat first 68%

We put the chance that the toss winner bats first at 68%.

✓ Decision called · China elected to bat

Toss result

China won the toss and chose to bat.

China bat first

ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Sub Regional Qualifier B 2026 · 5th Match · Friday, 9 October 2026 · 06:00 UTC (14:00 local) · 11:30 IST · YSD-UKM Cricket Oval, Bangi

What we know about this toss

Bowl first 32% Bat first 68%
  • Captains bowl first here. 23 of 34 toss winners have fielded at YSD-UKM Cricket Oval since 2022 (68%).(points to bowling first)
  • The sides differ. China have fielded in 2 of their last 4 tosses won; Hong Kong, China have fielded in 6 of their last 10 tosses won.(points neither way)
  • No dew. Daytime start (14:00 local). Conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
  • Rain around. A shortened game hands the chasing side a revised target (1.2 mm forecast in the first hour).(points to bowling first)
  • Chasing wins here. 18 of 29 decided men's T20 matches went to the side batting second (62.1%).(points to bowling first)
  • Our call: bat first — 68%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to batting first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 10 tosses at YSD-UKM Cricket Oval

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2024-09-09KuwaitFieldNo result—
2024-09-09MalaysiaFieldMalaysiaYes
2024-09-06SingaporeFieldSingaporeYes
2024-09-05SingaporeFieldSingaporeYes
2024-09-03MalaysiaBatMalaysiaNo
2024-09-03Hong KongFieldHong KongYes
2024-09-02MongoliaFieldMyanmarNo
2024-09-02MaldivesFieldKuwaitNo
2024-08-31MalaysiaFieldMalaysiaYes
2024-08-30Hong KongFieldHong KongYes

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

China have chosen to field in 2 of the 4 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (2 of the last 4 field).

Hong Kong, China have chosen to field in 35 of the 60 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (6 of the last 11 field).

It weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time as part of our call.

Does the toss matter at YSD-UKM Cricket Oval?

In 29 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 18 (62.1%).

Start: 06:00 UTC · 14:00 local time (day match).

Forecast at the start: 32°C · humidity 60% · partly cloudy · showers

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-10-09 06:08 UTC.

How this CHN vs HK toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. For this match our model weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.

Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.

For the full method, including dew and team news, read the venue pattern model.

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CHN vs HK toss prediction FAQ

What is the CHN vs HK toss prediction?

Bat first — a daytime start means no dew, so fewer captains choose to chase. We put the chance that the toss winner bats first at 68%. We predict the decision, not the coin. Whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at YSD-UKM Cricket Oval?

In 29 decided men's T20 matches at YSD-UKM Cricket Oval in our data, the side batting second won 18 (62.1%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

Our model weighs how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss and the start time (an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first). We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

China won the toss and chose to bat. Our call to bat first was right.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →

Last updated: 2026-10-09. Published 2026-10-07, toss result added 2026-10-09.

Information on this page is for educational purposes.

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