Mongolia vs Thailand Toss Prediction (MGL vs THAI)
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 62%.
✗ Decision missed · Thailand elected to bat
Toss result
Thailand won the toss and chose to bat.
Thailand bat first
Stamped 9 Oct, 08:10 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Thailand won by 183 runs ✓ match-winner prediction correct
What we know about this toss
- Captains bowl first here. 41 of 78 toss winners have fielded at Bayuemas Oval since 2023 (53%).(points to bowling first)
- Both sides like to bowl first. Mongolia have fielded in 3 of their last 4 tosses won; Thailand have fielded in 8 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to bowling first)
- No dew. Daytime start (09:15 local). Conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
- Forecast: 28°C · humidity 77% · clear skies.(points neither way)
- Chasing wins about half the time here (36 of 70).(points neither way)
- Our call: bowl first — 62%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits, the start time and this tournament's tosses so far. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)
Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.
From our match preview
We expect the toss winner to field first when Mongolia play Thailand on 9 October 2026, a call our toss page puts at 62%.
Last 10 tosses at Bayuemas Oval
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Malaysia | Field | United Arab Emirates | No |
| 2026-09-16 | Malaysia | Bat | United Arab Emirates | Yes |
| 2026-09-14 | Malaysia | Bat | United Arab Emirates | Yes |
| 2026-05-05 | Indonesia | Bat | Malaysia | Yes |
| 2026-05-04 | Malaysia | Bat | Malaysia | No |
| 2026-05-02 | Indonesia | Field | Malaysia | No |
| 2026-05-01 | Malaysia | Field | Malaysia | Yes |
| 2026-03-10 | Malaysia | Bat | Bahrain | Yes |
| 2026-03-08 | Bahrain | Bat | Bahrain | No |
| 2026-03-07 | Malaysia | Bat | Malaysia | No |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
Does the toss matter at Bayuemas Oval?
In 70 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 36 (51.4%).
Start: 01:15 UTC · 09:15 local time (day match).
Forecast at the start: 28°C · humidity 77% · clear skies
Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-10-09 00:08 UTC.
How we made this Mongolia vs Thailand toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our toss call is published in our match prediction. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.
For the full method, including venue toss patterns, dew and team news, see how we score venue toss patterns.
Toss prediction page launched 8 October 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Mongolia vs Thailand match preview.
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MGL vs THAI toss prediction FAQ
Who won the MGL vs THAI toss?
Thailand won the MGL vs THAI toss and chose to bat first.
What did the toss winner choose in MGL vs THAI?
Thailand chose to bat first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain went the other way.
How does the toss affect the MGL vs THAI match odds?
It hands the winner the choice of batting or chasing under the day's conditions. For this fixture we publish the toss call and grade it on our public ledger.
Where to bet on today's matches
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