Durham vs Yorkshire Toss Prediction (DUR vs YOR)

Friday, 29 May 2026 · 23:00 IST · Banks Homes Riverside, Chester-le-Street · Blast

Last updated: 29 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 27 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Durham vs Yorkshire match preview on 27 May 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "Whoever wins the toss is likely to bowl first. The Riverside has been close to balanced in Blast cricket, with the chasing side holding a small historical edge — the toss carries a small but not decisive impact."

What happened

Durham elected to field

Stamped 29 May, 23:35 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Yorkshire won by 58 runs ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

🏟️ What the toss means at Banks Homes Riverside, Chester-le-Street

Toss impact: HIGH bat-first ground — chases succeed only 38% of the time here

The toss went Durham's way — they chose to field, so Durham chase. In this branch our model makes Durham 45.0% — fair odds 2.22 (YOR 1.82) against a pre-toss baseline of 50.0%.

How we made this Durham vs Yorkshire toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we read captain decisions.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for DUR vs YOR: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Durham vs Yorkshire prediction →

DUR vs YOR toss prediction FAQ

Who won the DUR vs YOR toss?

Durham won the DUR vs YOR toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in DUR vs YOR?

Durham chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the DUR vs YOR match odds?

Meaningfully. Banks Homes Riverside, Chester-le-Street favours batting first (chases succeed only 38% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 5 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →