Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiators Toss Prediction (IU vs QG)

Thursday, 2 April 2026 · 15:00 IST · Gaddafi Stadium · PSL

Last updated: 7 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiators match preview on 30 March 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

bat first

From the article: "Bat first. Gaddafi Stadium has a 63% bat-first win rate, and this day match minimises dew — the main reason captains sometimes choose to chase. Both Shadab Khan and Saud Shakeel should elect to bat if they win the toss."

What happened

Quetta Gladiators elected to bat

Stamped 7 May, 20:01 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Quetta Gladiators won the match ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

🏟️ What the toss means at Gaddafi Stadium

Toss impact: HIGH bat-first ground — chases succeed only 37% of the time here

The toss went Quetta Gladiators's way — they chose to bat, so Islamabad United chase. In this branch our model makes Islamabad United 43.0% — fair odds 2.33 (QG 1.75) against a pre-toss baseline of 48.0%.

How we made this Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiators toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss prediction model.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for IU vs QG: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiators prediction →

IU vs QG toss prediction FAQ

Who won the IU vs QG toss?

Quetta Gladiators won the IU vs QG toss and chose to bat first.

What did the toss winner choose in IU vs QG?

Quetta Gladiators chose to bat first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the IU vs QG match odds?

Meaningfully. Gaddafi Stadium favours batting first (chases succeed only 37% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 5 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →