Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants Toss Prediction (MI vs LSG)

Monday, 4 May 2026 · 19:30 IST · Wankhede Stadium · IPL

Last updated: 7 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants match preview on 28 March 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "The toss winner will almost certainly bowl."

What happened

Mumbai Indians elected to field

Stamped 7 May, 14:15 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Mumbai Indians won the match ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Wankhede Stadium

Toss impact: Moderate chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 54% here

The toss went Mumbai Indians's way — they chose to field, so Mumbai Indians chase. In this branch our model makes Mumbai Indians 61.0% — fair odds 1.64 (LSG 2.56) against a pre-toss baseline of 57.0%.

How we made this Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we score venue toss patterns.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for MI vs LSG: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants prediction →

MI vs LSG toss prediction FAQ

Who won the MI vs LSG toss?

Mumbai Indians won the MI vs LSG toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in MI vs LSG?

Mumbai Indians chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the MI vs LSG match odds?

Meaningfully. Wankhede Stadium favours chasing (teams batting second win 54% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →