Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals Toss Prediction (MI vs RR)

Sunday, 24 May 2026 · 15:30 IST · Wankhede Stadium · IPL

Last updated: 24 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 21 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals match preview on 28 March 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

field first

Based on Wankhede Stadium field-first rate: 55%

What happened

Mumbai Indians elected to field

Stamped 24 May, 16:05 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Rajasthan Royals won by 30 runs ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Wankhede Stadium

Toss impact: Moderate chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 54% here

The toss went Mumbai Indians's way — they chose to field, so Mumbai Indians chase. In this branch our model makes Mumbai Indians 52.0% — fair odds 1.92 (RR 2.08) against a pre-toss baseline of 48.0%.

How we made this Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. At Wankhede Stadium, captains have chosen to field first about 55% of the time. Dew, pitch deterioration, and the comfort of a known target are the main drivers. Our prediction is the modal venue decision; the result above shows whether the captain actually followed it.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss decision framework.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for MI vs RR: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals prediction →

MI vs RR toss prediction FAQ

Who won the MI vs RR toss?

Mumbai Indians won the MI vs RR toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in MI vs RR?

Mumbai Indians chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the MI vs RR match odds?

Meaningfully. Wankhede Stadium favours chasing (teams batting second win 54% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →