Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals Toss Prediction (MI vs RR)
Our toss call
Based on the historical field-first decision rate at Wankhede Stadium of 55%.
✓ Decision called · Mumbai Indians elected to field
Toss result
Mumbai Indians won the toss and chose to bowl.
Rajasthan Royals bat first
Stamped 24 May, 16:05 IST · live data feed
Match outcome
Rajasthan Royals won by 30 runs ✓ match-winner prediction correct
🏟️ What the toss means at Wankhede Stadium
The toss went Mumbai Indians's way — they chose to field, so Mumbai Indians chase. In this branch our model makes Mumbai Indians 52.0% — fair odds 1.92 (RR 2.08) against a pre-toss baseline of 48.0%.
How we made this Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals toss prediction
We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. At Wankhede Stadium, captains have chosen to field first about 55% of the time. Dew, pitch deterioration, and the comfort of a known target are the main drivers. Our prediction is the modal venue decision; the result above shows whether the captain actually followed it.
For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see our toss decision framework.
Toss prediction page launched 21 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here comes from our Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals match preview.
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MI vs RR toss prediction FAQ
Who won the MI vs RR toss?
Mumbai Indians won the MI vs RR toss and chose to field first.
What did the toss winner choose in MI vs RR?
Mumbai Indians chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.
How does the toss affect the MI vs RR match odds?
Meaningfully. Wankhede Stadium favours chasing (teams batting second win 54% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.
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More toss predictions today → · Our public toss record → · Who won the toss today → · Full prediction archive →