Multan Sultans vs Islamabad United Toss Prediction (MS vs IU)

Saturday, 28 March 2026 · 20:30 IST · Gaddafi Stadium · PSL

Last updated: 7 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Multan Sultans vs Islamabad United match preview on 21 March 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✗ Decision missed

Our predicted decision

bat first

From the article: "Toss: Bat first. Gaddafi's strong bat-first advantage in PSL history (30W vs 18W chasing) makes this one of PSL's most batting-first-friendly venues."

What happened

Multan Sultans elected to field

Stamped 7 May, 20:01 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Islamabad United won the match ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

🏟️ What the toss means at Gaddafi Stadium

Toss impact: HIGH bat-first ground — chases succeed only 37% of the time here

The toss went Multan Sultans's way — they chose to field, so Multan Sultans chase. In this branch our model makes Multan Sultans 43.0% — fair odds 2.33 (IU 1.75) against a pre-toss baseline of 48.0%.

How we made this Multan Sultans vs Islamabad United toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see how we read captain decisions.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for MS vs IU: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Multan Sultans vs Islamabad United prediction →

MS vs IU toss prediction FAQ

Who won the MS vs IU toss?

Multan Sultans won the MS vs IU toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in MS vs IU?

Multan Sultans chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain went the other way.

How does the toss affect the MS vs IU match odds?

Meaningfully. Gaddafi Stadium favours batting first (chases succeed only 37% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 5 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →