Nepal vs Netherlands Toss Prediction (NEP vs NED)

Wednesday, 29 July 2026 · 14:30 IST · Sportpark Maarschalkerweerd · League 2

Last updated: 30 July 2026

Toss prediction page launched 28 July 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Nepal vs Netherlands match preview on 28 July 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "Our toss call for Nepal vs Netherlands on 29 July 2026 is to field first."

What happened

Nepal elected to field

Stamped 30 Jul, 05:50 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Netherlands won by 57 runs ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Sportpark Maarschalkerweerd

Toss impact: HIGH chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 67% here

The toss went Nepal's way — they chose to field, so Nepal chase. In this branch our model makes Nepal 51.1% — fair odds 1.96 (NED 2.04) against a pre-toss baseline of 42.1%.

How we made this Nepal vs Netherlands toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the venue pattern model.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for NEP vs NED: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Nepal vs Netherlands prediction →

NEP vs NED toss prediction FAQ

Who won the NEP vs NED toss?

Nepal won the NEP vs NED toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in NEP vs NED?

Nepal chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the NEP vs NED match odds?

Meaningfully. Sportpark Maarschalkerweerd favours chasing (teams batting second win 67% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 9 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →