Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals Toss Prediction (PBKS vs RR)

Tuesday, 28 April 2026 · 19:30 IST · Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, Mullanpur · IPL

Last updated: 7 May 2026

Toss prediction page launched 7 May 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals match preview on 28 March 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

field first

From the article: "Toss: Bowl first. Captains here have chosen to field 55% of the time and the chase-win rate sits at 54%. Moderate dew under lights tilts the second-innings maths in favour of the chasing side. Winning captain almost certainly fields."

What happened

Rajasthan Royals elected to field

Stamped 7 May, 14:15 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Punjab Kings won the match ✗ match-winner prediction wrong

🏟️ What the toss means at Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, Mullanpur

Toss impact: Moderate chase-friendly ground — teams batting second win 54% here

The toss went Rajasthan Royals's way — they chose to field, so Rajasthan Royals chase. In this branch our model makes Punjab Kings 55.0% — fair odds 1.82 (RR 2.22) against a pre-toss baseline of 59.0%.

How we made this Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the venue pattern model.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for PBKS vs RR: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals prediction →

PBKS vs RR toss prediction FAQ

Who won the PBKS vs RR toss?

Rajasthan Royals won the PBKS vs RR toss and chose to field first.

What did the toss winner choose in PBKS vs RR?

Rajasthan Royals chose to field first. Our pre-toss call was field first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the PBKS vs RR match odds?

Meaningfully. Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, Mullanpur favours chasing (teams batting second win 54% here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 4 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing — with evening dew adding to the chase advantage under lights. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →