South Africa vs Afghanistan Toss Prediction

Our toss call

Bowl first 55%

We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 55%.

Hong Kong Sixes 2026 · Group D · Friday, 30 October 2026 · 07:10 UTC (15:10 local) · 12:40 IST · Mission Road Ground, Mong Kok

What we know about this toss

Bowl first 55% Bat first 45%
  • Captains bowl first here. 26 of 33 toss winners have fielded at Mission Road Ground since 2016 (79%).(points to bowling first)
  • South Africa like to bowl first. They have fielded in 6 of their last 10 tosses won (72 of 118 in all).(points to bowling first)
  • No dew. Afternoon start (15:10 local). Conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
  • Chasing wins about half the time here (14 of 31).(points neither way)
  • Our call: bowl first — 55%. Weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 10 tosses at Mission Road Ground

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2026-03-01KuwaitFieldKuwaitYes
2026-02-26KuwaitFieldHong KongNo
2026-02-25Hong KongFieldHong KongYes
2025-04-13NepalFieldKuwaitNo
2025-04-13QatarFieldHong KongNo
2025-04-12NepalFieldNo result—
2025-04-12KuwaitFieldKuwaitYes
2025-04-10QatarFieldHong KongNo
2025-04-10NepalFieldNepalYes
2025-04-09KuwaitFieldKuwaitYes

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

South Africa have chosen to field in 72 of the 118 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (7 of the last 11 field).

It weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time as part of our call.

Does the toss matter at Mission Road Ground?

In 31 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 14 (45.2%).

Start: 07:10 UTC · 15:10 local time (afternoon match).

How this SA vs AFG toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. For this match our model weighs this ground's toss record, both sides' toss habits and the start time. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.

Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.

For the full method, including dew and team news, read the venue pattern model.

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SA vs AFG toss prediction FAQ

What is the SA vs AFG toss prediction?

Bowl first — captains have chosen to field in 26 of 33 men's T20 tosses at Mission Road Ground (2016–2026). We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 55%. We predict the decision, not the coin. Whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Mission Road Ground?

In 31 decided men's T20 matches at Mission Road Ground in our data, the side batting second won 14 (45.2%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

Our model weighs how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss and the start time (an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first). We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →

Last updated: 2026-10-28. Published 2026-10-28.

Information on this page is for educational purposes.

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