One Day Internationals
India vs West Indies 3rd ODI Prediction & Betting Tips
IND India
WI West Indies
Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh·
🎯 340/572 predictions correct⚡ Key Takeaways
- • India predicted to win with 86% probability
- • India lead the three-match series 2-0 after eight-wicket wins in Thiruvananthapuram and Guwahati
- • West Indies made 405 for 7 in Guwahati, with hundreds from Amir Jangoo, Shai Hope and John Campbell
- • Toss call: Field first, because India chose to field after winning both tosses in this series and the second innings is played under lights
- • The match-winner market is efficiently priced, with India's best price shorter than our fair number
Small edge — the price sits just above the market's fair line. Worth noting, size accordingly.
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Our AI model predicts India to beat West Indies in the 3rd ODI at New Chandigarh on 3 October 2026, with an 86% win probability. India already lead the three-match series 2-0 after two eight-wicket wins, so the series result is settled. It is also the first men's ODI at the Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium. The bookmakers rate India a little higher than we do, and the reason sits in West Indies' batting.
Can India finish the series 3-0 in New Chandigarh?
In the series opener at the Greenfield International Stadium in Thiruvananthapuram on 27 September 2026, West Indies made 295 for 7 and India reached 300 for 2 in 41.4 overs, winning by eight wickets with 50 balls remaining.
Virat Kohli carried that first chase with 139 not out off 88 balls. Kuldeep Yadav did the damage before it, taking 4 for 40 from his 10 overs and stopping West Indies short of 300.
In Guwahati on 30 September 2026, India ran down a far bigger total. West Indies posted 405 for 7, and India knocked off the runs for the loss of only two wickets in 43.3 overs, again winning by eight wickets, this time with 39 balls left.
Shubman Gill made 223 not out off 133 balls in that chase, and Rohit Sharma added 101 off 75 at the top of the order. India won the toss in both games and chose to field first each time.
West Indies' batting has given India two real tests
The scoreline reads 2-0, but West Indies have batted well. Their 295 for 7 in the opener was a competitive total, and they followed it with 405 for 7 in Guwahati.
That Guwahati innings had three hundreds. Amir Jangoo hit 114 off 77 balls, Shai Hope made 104 off 94, and John Campbell scored 101 off 68.
The problem has been the other half of the game. India reached both targets with eight wickets in hand, losing only four wickets across the two matches. To win in New Chandigarh, West Indies need early wickets against Rohit, Gill and Kohli.
Key Matchups: Kuldeep Yadav against the West Indies top order
Kuldeep Yadav vs Shai Hope and Amir Jangoo: Kuldeep took 4 for 40 in the opener and 2 for 65 in Guwahati. Hope and Jangoo both scored hundreds in that second game, so the middle overs are where this contest turns.
Shubman Gill vs the West Indies new ball: Gill was unbeaten on 223 off 133 balls in Guwahati. Removing him early is West Indies' best route to a defendable total.
Virat Kohli vs the chase: Kohli's 139 not out off 88 balls in Thiruvananthapuram set up the first win. If India bowl first again, he and Rohit Sharma frame the reply.
John Campbell vs India's opening bowlers: Campbell's 101 off 68 balls in Guwahati shows how fast West Indies can start. A quick first 10 overs from him would test India's plans for a big total.
🤝 Head-to-Head Record
India have won both meetings in this series, by eight wickets each time, on 27 and 30 September 2026.
Before that, the sides met in the Caribbean in 2023. India won by five wickets at Kensington Oval, Bridgetown on 27 July 2023, West Indies won by six wickets at the same ground on 29 July 2023, and India won the decider by 200 runs at the Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba on 1 August 2023.
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh — Capacity: 38,000. This is the first men's ODI at the ground.
- Pitch: In the two games of this series, India made 300 for 2 and 406 for 2 batting second.
- Weather: A day-night match starting at 2:00 pm IST (08:30 UTC), so the second innings is played under lights.
- Toss: We expect the toss winner to field first, as India did after winning both tosses in this series. We have published our pre-toss call for IND vs WI on the toss prediction page.
Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, Chandigarh · 38,000 capacity
Full Guide →60m – 75m boundaries
187
Avg 1st Innings
53%
Chase Win Rate
71%
Toss → Field
Minimal dew impact tonight. Toss advantage is reduced. Conditions relatively neutral.
Mullanpur Cricket Stadium in Chandigarh is the newest IPL venue (debut 2024). The 38,000-capacity PCA stadium Mullanpur has hosted 17 IPL matches over three seasons, four of them playoff games. Average score at Mullanpur Stadium is 187 first innings; the 2026 season averaged 219.
Match Analysis: where the 3rd ODI between India and West Indies is decided
West Indies' first job is to bat well again. Their top order has scored freely, with Jangoo, Hope and Campbell all making hundreds in Guwahati, but India ran down 295 and 405 without losing more than two wickets in either game.
That makes the West Indies new-ball spell the key phase. Kohli's 139 not out, Gill's 223 not out and Rohit's 101 show how well India's top order is batting, and India have lost only four wickets in two matches.
For India, the middle overs matter most if they bowl first. Kuldeep's 4 for 40 in the opener held West Indies to 295; in Guwahati, his 2 for 65 could not stop a total of 405. Keeping West Indies well below 400 leaves India's batting in control.
With the series settled at 2-0, team selection is the open question. Any rotation of India's first-choice players would change the picture more than the conditions.
India vs West Indies prediction: India to complete a 3-0 series win
Our AI model makes India 86% favourites to win the 3rd ODI and complete a 3-0 sweep. Their batting has reached both targets with ease, and their top three are in form, with Gill, Kohli and Rohit all scoring hundreds in the series.
West Indies' best hope is another big total from Jangoo, Hope and Campbell, plus early wickets. The market is efficiently priced, so the toss is the angle to watch: we expect the side that wins it to field first.
📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Best Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 86.2% | 90.4% | 1.11 | 1.16 |
| West Indies | 13.8% | 9.6% | 7.00 | 7.25 |
Efficiently priced. India's best price of 1.11 is shorter than our fair 1.16, and West Indies at 7.00 sit just under our fair 7.25. The confident call is India; the toss is the other live market. Odds captured on 1 October 2026.
Our model is 4.2 points below the market on India. Here's why. West Indies made 405 for 7 in Guwahati with three hundreds and 295 for 7 in the opener, so their batting can set a total India must work for. The series is also already decided at 2-0, which leaves India's selection for this game open. Neither changes our pick.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win India vs West Indies in the 3rd ODI?
Our AI model predicts India to win the 3rd ODI against West Indies in New Chandigarh on 3 October 2026, with an 86% win probability. India lead the three-match series 2-0 after two eight-wicket wins.
What is the toss prediction for India vs West Indies?
Field first. India chose to field after winning the toss in both earlier ODIs of this series, and the second innings of the 3rd ODI in New Chandigarh is played under lights, so we expect the toss winner to bowl first.
What are the best odds for India vs West Indies?
India's best price is 1.11 and West Indies' is 7.00 for the 3rd ODI in New Chandigarh. Our fair odds are 1.16 for India and 7.25 for West Indies, so the match-winner market is efficiently priced on both sides.
Have India already won the ODI series against West Indies?
Yes. India lead the three-match series 2-0 after winning by eight wickets in Thiruvananthapuram on 27 September 2026 and in Guwahati on 30 September 2026, so the 3rd ODI in New Chandigarh is a dead rubber.
Has a men's ODI been played in New Chandigarh before?
No. The India vs West Indies 3rd ODI on 3 October 2026 is the first men's ODI at the Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium in New Chandigarh.
What happened in the 2nd ODI between India and West Indies?
West Indies made 405 for 7 in Guwahati on 30 September 2026, and India replied with 406 for 2 in 43.3 overs to win by eight wickets. Shubman Gill scored 223 not out off 133 balls.
