Namibia vs Ireland 4th ODI Prediction & Betting Tips

Our prediction

Ireland predicted to win with 55.8% probability

Ireland cricket team logo Ireland
56%
Lean
Namibia cricket team logoNamibia 44%

High Performance Oval, Windhoek

Our match picks: 444 of 723 right →

Toss Prediction

Our toss call

Bowl first

We expect the toss winner to field.

Toss preview ›

Key Takeaways

  • • Ireland predicted to win with 55.8% probability
  • • Namibia lead the five-match series 2-1 after beating Ireland by 63 runs (27 October 2026)
  • • Paul Stirling was absent hurt and did not bat for Ireland in that 27 October game
  • • We expect the toss winner to bowl first (66%)
  • • The best Namibia price we can see, 2.27, is a fraction above our fair 2.26, a marginal edge

Ireland to level the series in Windhoek.

Our AI model gives Ireland a 55.8% chance of beating Namibia in the 4th ODI of the Ireland tour of Namibia, in Windhoek on 30 October 2026. Namibia lead the five-match series 2-1, so Ireland need this game to keep it alive.

Can Jan Frylinck and Gerhard Erasmus win the series for Namibia?

On 27 October 2026, Namibia won the toss and batted in Windhoek, making 316 for 7 in their 50 overs. Jan Frylinck scored 126 off 122 balls and was named player of the match. Gerhard Erasmus added 54 from 51 balls before he was caught by George Dockrell off the bowling of Gavin Hoey.

Malan Kruger made 42 off 46 balls in the same Namibia innings. Ireland were then bowled out for 253 in 44.5 overs, and Namibia won by 63 runs to go 2-1 up.

In that chase, Bernard Scholtz took 2 for 31 from his 10 overs against Ireland (27 October). Ruben Trumpelmann took 2 for 37 in 7 overs against Ireland on 27 October 2026.

Namibia's captain led the way in the 2nd ODI on 24 October 2026. Gerhard Erasmus made 156 not out off 125 balls against Ireland as Namibia posted 321 for 6. Jan Frylinck added 76 in 90 balls in the same innings, and Namibia won by 31 runs.

Jack Brassell took 4 for 52 across 10 overs against Ireland on 24 October 2026, as Ireland were all out for 290 in 47.3 overs.

Can Curtis Campher and Andy McBrine pull Ireland level?

Curtis Campher made 106 off 86 balls against Namibia in the 27 October game, before he was run out. Andy McBrine scored 30 off 31 balls in the same innings, but Ireland were bowled out for 253.

Paul Stirling was absent hurt and did not bat in that chase. Paul Stirling made 56 off 71 balls against Namibia on 22 October 2026. He then made 77 from 71 balls against Namibia on 24 October.

Ireland's win on 22 October 2026 came by 55 runs. Namibia won the toss and bowled, and Ireland made 229 for 9 in their 50 overs.

Gavin Hoey took 3 for 29 in 9 overs against Namibia on 22 October 2026, as Namibia were all out for 174 in 37.5 overs. Gavin Hoey added 3 for 53 from 10 overs against Namibia (24 October).

With the ball, Andy McBrine took 2 for 53 from his 10 overs against Namibia (27 October). Curtis Campher took 2 for 68 in 8 overs against Namibia in the same innings.

Key Matchups: Jan Frylinck against Andy McBrine

Jan Frylinck vs Andy McBrine: Jan Frylinck made 126 off 122 balls against Ireland on 27 October 2026. Andy McBrine took 2 for 53 from 10 overs against Namibia in that game.

Gerhard Erasmus vs Gavin Hoey: Gerhard Erasmus made 156 not out against Ireland on 24 October 2026. On 27 October 2026, Gerhard Erasmus was caught by George Dockrell off the bowling of Gavin Hoey for 54.

Curtis Campher vs Bernard Scholtz: Curtis Campher scored 106 against Namibia in the third ODI (27 October). Bernard Scholtz conceded only 31 runs from his 10 overs against Ireland in that game, and took 2 wickets.

🤝 Head-to-Head Record

Namibia and Ireland met in a men's ODI for the first time on 22 October 2026, at High Performance Oval. Ireland won that game by 55 runs.

Namibia have won both games since, by 31 runs on 24 October and by 63 runs on 27 October 2026. They lead the five-match series 2-1 before the fourth ODI.

🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss

Windhoek has staged the first three games of this series (22, 24 and 27 October 2026), and the side batting first has won each one.

  • Pitch: Ireland made 229 for 9 on 22 October 2026. Namibia replied with 174 all out. Namibia made 321 for 6 on 24 October. Ireland were all out for 290 in that chase. On 27 October, Namibia made 316 for 7. Ireland were all out for 253 in reply.
  • Toss: Toss call: Field first — we expect the toss winner to bowl, at 66%. Namibia won the toss and bowled on 22 October 2026. Ireland won it and bowled on 24 October. Namibia won it and batted on 27 October. See the toss prediction for NAM vs IRE, locked in before the toss happens.

Match Analysis: Where Namibia vs Ireland will be won and lost

Batting first has won each game of this series. Ireland defended 229 for 9 on 22 October 2026. Namibia defended 321 for 6 on 24 October, then 316 for 7 on 27 October.

Namibia's route is their top order. Jan Frylinck made 126 in the third ODI (27 October). Gerhard Erasmus made 156 not out on 24 October. A Namibia total past 300 has been enough in both of their wins.

Ireland's route runs through Curtis Campher, Andy McBrine and the fitness of Paul Stirling. Ireland also need to bat out their 50 overs. On 24 October 2026 they were all out in 47.3 overs; on 27 October they lasted 44.5 overs.

Namibia vs Ireland prediction: Ireland slight favourites to square the series

Our AI model makes Ireland 56% favourites (55.8%) for the 4th ODI in Windhoek, with fair odds of 1.79. Ireland's prices sit below that fair figure. Namibia's best price of 2.27 is a fraction above our fair 2.26, a marginal edge for small stakes only. We expect the toss winner to bowl first, at 66%.

📊 Odds & Betting Value

Team Our Model Market Implied Odds Fair Odds
Namibia 44.2% 41.8% 2.24 2.26
Ireland 55.8% 58.2% 1.65 1.79

A marginal edge on Namibia. Namibia's 2.24 is just under our fair 2.26. The best Namibia price we can see, 2.27, is a fraction above it, so the edge is marginal and suits small stakes only. Ireland's 1.65 is below our fair 1.79, and the best Ireland price we can see, 1.61, is lower still. Odds captured 28 October 2026.

Where we differ from the market. Our model is 2.4 points above the market on Namibia. Namibia beat Ireland by 31 runs on 24 October 2026, then won the 27 October game by 63.

Our prediction ↑

Ireland tour of Namibia 2026

Namibia vs Irelandodds

30 Oct 2026 · 13:00 IST

Match winner: Namibia 2.24, Ireland 1.65 at Dafabet; checked 08:06 IST.

Namibia vs Ireland — Match winner
Bookmaker1NAM2IREPayout
Dafabet
1 · Namibia 2.242 · Ireland 1.65Payout95.0%
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Namibia vs Ireland in the 4th ODI?

Our AI model predicts Ireland to beat Namibia, with a 55.8% win probability, in the 4th ODI in Windhoek on 30 October 2026. Namibia lead the five-match series 2-1 after beating Ireland by 63 runs on 27 October 2026.

What is the toss prediction for Namibia vs Ireland?

We expect the toss winner to bowl first in Namibia vs Ireland, at 66%. Namibia won the toss and bowled on 22 October 2026. Ireland did the same on 24 October. Namibia batted after winning the toss on 27 October 2026.

What are the odds for Namibia vs Ireland?

At the time of writing, 28 October 2026, Namibia were priced at 2.24 and Ireland at 1.65, against our fair odds of 2.26 and 1.79. The best Namibia price we can see, 2.27, is a fraction above our fair 2.26.

How did Namibia beat Ireland on 27 October 2026?

Namibia made 316 for 7 in Windhoek on 27 October 2026, with Jan Frylinck scoring 126 off 122 balls. Ireland were all out for 253 in 44.5 overs despite 106 from Curtis Campher, and Namibia won by 63 runs.

What is the score in the Namibia vs Ireland ODI series?

Namibia lead Ireland 2-1 in the five-match ODI series before the fourth game on 30 October 2026. Ireland won the first ODI by 55 runs on 22 October 2026. Namibia won the second by 31 runs on 24 October and the third by 63 runs on 27 October 2026.

Who are the key players for Namibia against Ireland?

Jan Frylinck made 126 off 122 balls for Namibia against Ireland on 27 October 2026. Gerhard Erasmus made 156 not out off 125 balls for Namibia against Ireland on 24 October 2026.

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