Jersey vs Denmark Match 43 Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
Jersey predicted to win with 72.4% probability
Jersey
Denmark 28%Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 70%.
Toss preview ›Key Takeaways
- • Jersey predicted to win with 72.4% probability
- • Jersey beat Denmark in both earlier Challenge League meetings, by 52 runs in October 2024 and by 89 runs in August 2025
- • Kuwait chased down Jersey's 224 at this ground on 27 October 2026 with 98 balls remaining
- • We expect the toss winner to field first at Ruaraka (70%)
- • Denmark at 3.65 are the value side, just above our fair odds of 3.62
Jersey to beat Denmark at Ruaraka.
Our AI model gives Jersey a 72.4% chance of beating Denmark in Match 43 of the ICC CWC Challenge League A at Ruaraka Sports Club Ground, Nairobi, on 30 October 2026, at 12:15 pm IST (06:45 UTC). Jersey beat Papua New Guinea by 172 runs (22 October) and Kenya by 123 runs three days later, then lost to Kuwait by 7 wickets on 27 October. Denmark come in off a 52-run win over Qatar (28 October), and at 3.65 they sit just above our fair odds of 3.62.
Jersey's batting has done the heavy lifting in Nairobi
Jersey's two wins in this round came from huge first innings. Zak Tribe made 150 off 129 balls against Papua New Guinea at the Gymkhana Club Ground on 22 October 2026, and Jersey finished on 347 for 5. PNG were all out for 175 in 36.5 overs, with Benjamin Ward taking 5 for 49.
Kenya were next, three days later. Asa Tribe made 72 off 86 balls, Zak Tribe 65 off 67 and Harrison Carlyon 50 off 43 as Jersey reached 320 for 9. Kenya were then dismissed for 197 in 42 overs, Benjamin Ward taking 5 for 28, and Jersey won by 123 runs.
The defeat came at Ruaraka. Kuwait won the toss and bowled in the 27 October game, and Jersey were all out for 224 in 50 overs. Kuwait made 225 for 3 in 33.4 overs to win by 7 wickets, with Benjamin Ward taking 2 for 35 in that chase.
Can Denmark's bowlers repeat what they did to Qatar?
Denmark's round has swung both ways. Kenya made 324 for 7 against Denmark at the Gymkhana Club Ground on 21 October 2026. Denmark were all out for 221 in 44.1 overs in reply, with Hamid Shah making 55, and Kenya won by 103 runs.
Three days later Denmark beat Kuwait by 102 runs. Musa Shaheen Mahmood made 64 off 84 balls as Denmark set 274 for 8 on 24 October 2026. Kuwait were bowled out for 172 in 29.4 overs, and Saif Ahmad took 5 for 20.
At Ruaraka on 25 October 2026, Lucky Ali made 114 not out off 111 balls and Hamid Shah 73 off 82 as Denmark reached 304 for 6. Papua New Guinea made 307 for 6 in 49.1 overs and won by 4 wickets. Abdullah Mahmood took 4 for 42 in that chase.
Denmark won the toss and batted against Qatar on 28 October 2026, and were dismissed for 120 in 36.2 overs, with Hamid Shah making 44. Qatar were then bowled out for 68 in 16.2 overs. Saif Ahmad took 4 for 31 and Abdullah Mahmood 4 for 15 in that innings, and Denmark won by 52 runs.
Key Matchups: Ward against Hamid Shah, Saif Ahmad against Jersey's top order
Benjamin Ward vs Hamid Shah: Benjamin Ward took 5 for 49 in the PNG game (22 October), then 5 for 28 against Kenya three days later. Hamid Shah made 73 in Denmark's PNG game (25 October) and 44 in the Qatar game (28 October). Denmark need a long innings from him.
Saif Ahmad vs Harrison Carlyon: Saif Ahmad took 5 for 20 in the Kuwait game (24 October), then 4 for 31 in the Qatar game (28 October). Harrison Carlyon made 50 off 43 balls in the Kenya game (25 October), and a quick start from him puts Denmark's bowlers under pressure early.
Zak Tribe vs Abdullah Mahmood: Zak Tribe made 150 off 129 balls in the PNG game (22 October), then 65 off 67 against Kenya three days later. Abdullah Mahmood took 4 for 42 in Denmark's PNG game (25 October), then 4 for 15 in the Qatar game (28 October).
🤝 Head-to-Head Record
Jersey and Denmark meet for the third time in the Challenge League, and Jersey won the first two. At Ruaraka on 5 October 2024, Josh Lawrenson made 93 off 119 balls as Jersey posted 283 for 8. Denmark were bowled out for 231 in 44.1 overs, with Hamid Shah making 54, and Jersey won by 52 runs.
The second meeting was at Grainville, St Saviour, on 25 August 2025. Josh Lawrenson made 139 off 152 balls in Jersey's 348 for 3. Denmark were all out for 259 in 45 overs, and Jersey won by 89 runs.
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Ruaraka Sports Club Ground, Nairobi has seen a 300-plus total chased in this round. Papua New Guinea made 307 for 6 in 49.1 overs there to beat Denmark's 304 for 6 on 25 October 2026.
- Start: 12:15 pm IST (06:45 UTC) on 30 October 2026, which is 9:45 am in Nairobi.
- Recent scores: Kuwait made 225 for 3 in 33.4 overs at Ruaraka on 27 October 2026, in reply to Jersey's 224.
- Toss: Toss call: Field first — we put the chance that the toss winner chooses to field at 70%. Papua New Guinea won the toss at Ruaraka and bowled against Denmark (25 October), and Kuwait did the same against Jersey (27 October). Our toss page logs the pre-toss pick for Jersey vs Denmark, timestamped and publicly tracked.
Match Analysis: Denmark need early wickets to stop Jersey's batting
Jersey's two big wins in this round came from long innings, 347 for 5 against PNG and 320 for 9 against Kenya. When the batting stopped at 224 against Kuwait, the bowlers could not defend it, and Kuwait won with 98 balls remaining.
Denmark's best days have come with the ball. Saif Ahmad and Abdullah Mahmood took 8 wickets between them as Qatar were bowled out for 68 on 28 October. If they strike early against Jersey, Denmark can turn this into a low-scoring game where 3.65 looks generous.
Jersey vs Denmark prediction: Jersey the pick at Ruaraka
Our AI model makes Jersey 72.4% favourites for Match 43, with fair odds of 1.38. Jersey at 1.27 are shorter than that, so the pick and the value point different ways. Denmark at 3.65 sit just above their fair price of 3.62, a marginal edge for anyone who wants the underdog.
📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jersey | 72.4% | 74.2% | 1.27 | 1.38 |
| Denmark | 27.6% | 25.8% | 3.65 | 3.62 |
Value sits with Denmark, by a small margin. Denmark's 3.65 is above our fair odds of 3.62, an edge of about 0.8%. Jersey's 1.27 is below our fair 1.38, so the favourite is our pick and the underdog is the value side. Odds captured on 29 October 2026.
Our model is 1.8 points below the market on Jersey. Here's why. Kuwait beat Jersey by 7 wickets at Ruaraka on 27 October 2026 with 98 balls remaining. Denmark bowled out Kuwait for 172 on 24 October. Four days later they dismissed Qatar for 68.
ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A
Jersey vs Denmarkodds
30 Oct 2026 · 12:15 IST
Match winner: Jersey 1.30 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; Denmark 3.65 at Dafabet; checked 02:10–02:12 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1JER | 2DEN | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 · Jersey 1.27 | 2 · Denmark 3.65 | Payout94.2% |
 | 1 · Jersey 1.30 | 2 · Denmark 3.50 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · Jersey 1.30 | 2 · Denmark 3.50 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · Jersey 1.30 | 2 · Denmark 3.50 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · Jersey 1.30 | 2 · Denmark 3.50 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · Jersey 1.30 | 2 · Denmark 3.50 | Payout95.0% |
 | 1 · Jersey 1.30 | 2 · Denmark 3.50 | Payout95.0% |
| Highest | 1 · Jersey1.30 | 2 · Denmark3.65 | Payout– |
1X2: Jersey 1.30, Tie 50.00, Denmark 3.52 at WinWin, Melbet, Megapari, Paripesa, PlanBet, 1xBet; checked 02:10 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1JER | XTie | 2DEN | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Jersey 1.30 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · Denmark ▲3.52 | Payout93.4% |
| 1 · Jersey 1.30 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · Denmark ▲3.52 | Payout93.4% |
| 1 · Jersey 1.30 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · Denmark ▲3.52 | Payout93.4% |
| 1 · Jersey 1.30 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · Denmark ▲3.52 | Payout93.4% |
| 1 · Jersey 1.30 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · Denmark ▲3.52 | Payout93.4% |
| 1 · Jersey 1.30 | X · Tie 50.00 | 2 · Denmark ▲3.52 | Payout93.4% |
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Jersey vs Denmark in the ICC CWC Challenge League A?
Our AI model predicts Jersey to beat Denmark, with a 72.4% win probability, in Match 43 at Ruaraka Sports Club Ground, Nairobi (30 October 2026). Jersey beat Denmark by 52 runs on 5 October 2024 and by 89 runs on 25 August 2025 in their two earlier Challenge League meetings.
What is the toss prediction for Jersey vs Denmark?
We expect the toss winner to field first in Jersey vs Denmark at Ruaraka, at 70%. Papua New Guinea won the toss at the ground and bowled on 25 October 2026, Kuwait did the same on 27 October 2026, and this game starts at 12:15 pm IST (06:45 UTC) on 30 October 2026.
What are the odds for Jersey vs Denmark?
At the time of writing, 29 October 2026, Jersey were priced at 1.27 and Denmark at 3.65, against our fair odds of 1.38 and 3.62. Denmark's 3.65 is a marginal edge of about 0.8% over our fair price for the underdog.
Have Jersey beaten Denmark before?
Yes. Jersey beat Denmark by 52 runs at Ruaraka in Nairobi on 5 October 2024 and by 89 runs at Grainville, St Saviour, on 25 August 2025, their two earlier meetings in the ICC CWC Challenge League A. Josh Lawrenson made 93 in the first game and 139 in the second.
How did Jersey and Denmark do in their previous games?
Kuwait beat Jersey by 7 wickets at Ruaraka on 27 October 2026, making 225 for 3 in 33.4 overs. Denmark beat Qatar by 52 runs on 28 October 2026, bowling Qatar out for 68 in 16.2 overs.
How has the pitch played at Ruaraka Sports Club Ground?
Big chases have worked at Ruaraka Sports Club Ground in this round. Papua New Guinea made 307 for 6 in 49.1 overs to beat Denmark's 304 for 6 on 25 October 2026, and Kuwait made 225 for 3 in 33.4 overs against Jersey on 27 October 2026.
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