Namibia vs Ireland 5th ODI Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction
Ireland predicted to win with 59% probability
Ireland
Namibia 41%Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 73%.
Toss preview ›Key Takeaways
- • Ireland predicted to win with 59% probability
- • The five-match series is level at 2-2 after Ireland beat Namibia by 130 runs (30 October 2026)
- • Jai Moondra took 6 for 26 against Namibia in that 30 October game and was player of the match
- • We expect the toss winner to bowl first (73%)
- • Namibia at 2.50 is above our fair 2.44, a marginal edge
Ireland edge the series decider at 59%.
Our AI model gives Ireland a 59% chance of beating Namibia in the 5th ODI of the Ireland tour of Namibia, in Windhoek on 1 November 2026 (1:00 pm IST, 07:30 UTC). The five-match series is level at 2-2, so this game decides it.
Namibia made 300-plus both times they won
Namibia's two wins came when they batted first. Gerhard Erasmus made 156 not out off 125 balls against Ireland on 24 October 2026, as Namibia posted 321 for 6. Against Ireland on 24 October, Jan Frylinck added 76 off 90 balls, and Namibia won by 31 runs.
Namibia made 316 for 7 against Ireland on 27 October 2026. Jan Frylinck scored 126 off 122 balls against Ireland in that innings (27 October 2026). Namibia won that game by 63 runs to lead the series.
With the ball, Jack Brassell took 4 for 52 in 10 overs against Ireland on 24 October 2026. JJ Smit took 4 for 34 in 10 overs against Ireland on 30 October 2026.
The 30 October chase went wrong for Namibia. They were all out for 168 in 41 overs and lost by 130 runs. Zane Green made 45 off 58 balls against Ireland on 30 October 2026. Ruben Trumpelmann added 40 off 34 balls in the same chase (30 October 2026).
Jai Moondra's 6 for 26 pulled Ireland level
Ireland batted first on 30 October 2026 after Namibia won the toss and bowled. Tim Tector made 73 off 81 balls against Namibia on 30 October 2026, and Ireland reached 298 for 8 in their 50 overs.
Curtis Campher added 66 off 50 balls against Namibia on 30 October. Against Namibia on 30 October 2026, George Dockrell finished on 47 not out off 34 balls.
Jai Moondra then took 6 for 26 in 10 overs against Namibia on 30 October 2026 and was named player of the match. Lorcan Tucker captained Ireland on 30 October 2026.
Ireland's other win came on 22 October 2026, by 55 runs. Ireland made 229 for 9 on 22 October. Namibia were then all out for 174 in 37.5 overs.
Curtis Campher also made 106 off 86 balls against Namibia on 27 October 2026, before he was run out. Ireland were all out for 253 in 44.5 overs in that chase and lost by 63 runs.
Key Matchups: Jai Moondra against Namibia's top order
Jai Moondra vs Jan Frylinck: Jan Frylinck made 126 against Ireland on 27 October 2026. Jai Moondra took 6 for 26 against Namibia on 30 October 2026, when Namibia were bowled out for 168.
JJ Smit vs Tim Tector: Tim Tector made 73 against Namibia on 30 October 2026. JJ Smit took 4 for 34 against Ireland on 30 October 2026.
Gerhard Erasmus vs Curtis Campher: Gerhard Erasmus made 156 not out against Ireland on 24 October 2026. Curtis Campher made 106 against Namibia on 27 October 2026. Curtis Campher followed with 66 against Namibia on 30 October 2026.
🤝 Head-to-Head Record
After four games of this five-match ODI series, Namibia and Ireland have won two each. Ireland won the first by 55 runs on 22 October 2026.
Namibia then won by 31 runs on 24 October and by 63 runs on 27 October 2026. Ireland levelled the series with a 130-run win at the High Performance Oval on 30 October 2026.
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
Windhoek hosts the fifth ODI, as it hosted the first four. Ireland batted first and won on 22 and 30 October 2026. Namibia batted first and won on 24 and 27 October 2026.
- Pitch: Ireland made 229 for 9 on 22 October 2026. Namibia replied with 174 all out. Namibia made 321 for 6 on 24 October. Ireland were all out for 290 in that chase. On 27 October, Namibia made 316 for 7. Ireland were all out for 253 in reply. Ireland made 298 for 8 on 30 October 2026. Namibia were all out for 168.
- Toss: Toss call: Field first — we put the chance that the toss winner chooses to field at 73%. Namibia won the toss and bowled on 22 October 2026. Ireland won it and bowled on 24 October. Namibia won it and batted on 27 October. Namibia won it and bowled again on 30 October 2026. The Namibia vs Ireland toss page records our call before the toss and updates with the result.
Match Analysis: where Namibia vs Ireland is won and lost
Namibia's route is a big first-innings total. They defended 321 for 6 on 24 October 2026, then 316 for 7 on 27 October.
Ireland's route is the ball. Namibia were bowled out for 174 on 22 October 2026 and for 168 on 30 October 2026, both times chasing an Ireland total.
That makes the toss awkward. Namibia won the toss and bowled on 22 and 30 October 2026, and lost both games. Ireland won the toss and bowled on 24 October 2026, and lost that game too.
Namibia vs Ireland prediction: Ireland 59% favourites for the decider
Our AI model makes Ireland 59% favourites for the 5th ODI in Windhoek, with fair odds of 1.69. Ireland's 1.56 sits below that fair figure. Namibia's 2.50 is above our fair 2.44, a marginal edge for small stakes only. We expect the toss winner to bowl first, at 73%.
📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Namibia | 41% | 37.7% | 2.50 | 2.44 |
| Ireland | 59% | 62.3% | 1.56 | 1.69 |
A marginal edge on Namibia. Namibia's 2.50 is above our fair 2.44, an edge of about 2.5% that suits small stakes only. Ireland's 1.56 is below our fair 1.69. Odds captured 31 October 2026.
Where we differ from the market. Our model is 3.3 points above the market on Namibia. Ireland's 130-run win on 30 October 2026 is the latest result. Namibia, playing at home, won both games in which they batted first, by 31 runs on 24 October and by 63 runs on 27 October 2026.
Ireland tour of Namibia 2026
Namibia vs Irelandodds
1 Nov 2026 · 13:00 IST
Match winner: Namibia 2.23, Ireland 1.69 at Dafabet; checked 04:27 IST.
| Bookmaker | 1NAM | 2IRE | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 · Namibia ▼2.23 | 2 · Ireland ▲1.69 | Payout96.1% |
Call this match. Take on our AI.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Namibia vs Ireland in the 5th ODI?
Our AI model predicts Ireland to beat Namibia, with a 59% win probability, in the 5th ODI in Windhoek on 1 November 2026. The series is level at 2-2 after Ireland won the fourth ODI by 130 runs on 30 October 2026.
What is the toss prediction for Namibia vs Ireland?
We expect the toss winner to bowl first in Namibia vs Ireland on 1 November 2026, at 73%. Toss winners chose to bowl on 22, 24 and 30 October 2026. Namibia batted after winning the toss on 27 October 2026.
What are the odds for Namibia vs Ireland?
At the time of writing, 31 October 2026, Namibia were priced at 2.50 and Ireland at 1.56, against our fair odds of 2.44 and 1.69. Namibia's 2.50 is above our fair figure, a marginal edge.
How did Ireland beat Namibia on 30 October 2026?
Ireland made 298 for 8 in Windhoek on 30 October 2026, with Tim Tector scoring 73 off 81 balls. Jai Moondra then took 6 for 26 in 10 overs against Namibia on 30 October 2026, and Namibia were all out for 168 in 41 overs. Ireland won by 130 runs.
What is the score in the Namibia vs Ireland ODI series?
Namibia and Ireland are level at 2-2 before the fifth ODI on 1 November 2026. Ireland won the first ODI by 55 runs on 22 October 2026. Namibia won the second by 31 runs on 24 October and the third by 63 runs on 27 October. Ireland won the fourth by 130 runs on 30 October 2026.
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