Women's National Cricket League
Western Australia Women vs Tasmania Women Prediction & Betting Tips
WA-W Western Australia Women
TAS-W Tasmania Women
W.A.C.A. Ground, Perth·
🎯 338/570 predictions correct⚡ Key Takeaways
- • Western Australia Women predicted to win with 62% probability
- • Western Australia won the previous meeting by 4 wickets with 88 balls to spare, in a day-night game on 29 September
- • Beth Mooney made 117 not out off 94 balls in that game, and Ruby Strange took 5 for 49
- • Our toss pick: bowl first, after the chasing side won comfortably last time
- • Both prices sit just under our fair odds (1.58 against 1.63, 2.45 against 2.60), so the toss is the sharper angle
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Our AI model predicts Western Australia Women to beat Tasmania Women with 62% probability at W.A.C.A. Ground, Perth on Thursday 1 October 2026. Western Australia won the previous meeting there by 4 wickets with 88 balls remaining, after Tasmania were bowled out for 232. They also won both meetings between these sides in the 2025-26 WNCL, in January 2026.
Can Western Australia Women lean on Beth Mooney again?
Western Australia's chase on 29 September needed rescuing after early wickets, and Tasmania were still in the game when the sixth wicket fell.
Beth Mooney then took charge. She finished on 117 not out off 94 balls, with 15 fours and 2 sixes, and was player of the match. Alana King stayed with her to the end on 55 not out off 58 balls, and Western Australia reached 236 for 6 in 35.2 overs.
The bowling was led by Ruby Strange, who took 5 for 49 from 8 overs. Amy Edgar added 2 for 31 from her 10 overs, including 3 maidens, and King took 1 for 32.
Tasmania Women need their top order to last
Tasmania Women collapsed from 80 for 1 to 93 for 7 in the 29 September game. Lizelle Lee had made 50 off 42 balls with 10 fours before Strange bowled her.
Tabatha Saville rebuilt the innings with 79 off 86 balls and 10 fours, and Lauren Smith stayed with her as Tasmania rebuilt. Their eighth wicket fell at 185, and Maisy Gibson's late runs helped them to 232 in 45 overs.
With the ball, Lauren Smith took 3 for 37 from 10 overs, including 2 maidens, and Nicola Carey took 2 for 46 from 7 overs. Tasmania had Western Australia in trouble early, and they will want the same start again.
Key Matchups: Ruby Strange against Tasmania's top order
Ruby Strange vs Lizelle Lee: Strange bowled Lee for 50 last time and went on to take 5 for 49. Lee scored her 50 off 42 balls, so an early wicket for Strange would change the shape of Tasmania's innings again.
Beth Mooney vs Lauren Smith: Smith took 3 for 37 from 10 overs on 29 September, and Mooney still made 117 not out. Tasmania need Smith to find a way past Mooney early, before she can build another long innings.
Amy Edgar vs Tabatha Saville: Edgar ended Saville's 79 when Mooney completed a stumping, and she conceded only 31 runs from her 10 overs. Saville is the batter Tasmania rebuilt around last time.
🤝 Head-to-Head Record
Western Australia Women won both meetings between these sides in the 2025-26 WNCL, played in January 2026: one by 5 wickets with 52 balls remaining, and one by 6 wickets with 14 balls remaining.
Tasmania Women won the two meetings before those, in September 2024, by 52 runs and by 1 wicket. The first meeting of the new season went to Western Australia at the W.A.C.A. on 29 September 2026, by 4 wickets with 88 balls to spare.
🏟️ Venue, Conditions & Toss
W.A.C.A. Ground, Perth hosts this day-night game. When these sides met at the ground on 29 September, the side batting first made 232 and the chasing side won with 88 balls to spare.
- Pitch: Tasmania's 232 was chased down in 35.2 overs, after both top orders lost early wickets.
- Weather: The Perth forecast for 1 October is dry, with a 2:00 pm local start (06:00 UTC).
- Toss: Toss call: Field first — Western Australia chased down Tasmania's 232 in 35.2 overs when these sides last met. Our toss prediction for Western Australia Women vs Tasmania Women is timestamped publicly before the coin lands.
Match Analysis: where this match will be won and lost
Both innings of the 29 September game turned on early wickets. Tasmania lost six wickets for 13 runs after a strong start, and Western Australia also lost early wickets in the chase.
The difference was the recovery. Mooney and King finished the chase without losing another wicket, while Tasmania's eighth wicket fell at 185 and they were all out for 232. Tasmania's route to an upset is a long innings from Lee or Saville that keeps wickets in hand for the last 10 overs.
The Perth forecast is dry, so a full 50-over contest is expected, and that suits the side with the deeper batting.
Western Australia Women vs Tasmania Women Prediction: Western Australia to win
Our AI model gives Western Australia Women a 62% chance to beat Tasmania Women on Thursday 1 October, with Tasmania at 38.5%. Western Australia won the 29 September game by 4 wickets and both 2025-26 meetings, and Mooney is in form after her 117 not out. Tasmania Women won both meetings in September 2024, though, and Saville's 79 shows they can post a competitive total.
The match-winner market is fairly priced on both sides, so the toss is the angle: we expect the toss winner to bowl first.
📊 Odds & Betting Value
| Team | Our Model | Market Implied | Odds | Fair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Australia Women | 61.5% | 61.5% | 1.58 | 1.63 |
| Tasmania Women | 38.5% | 38.5% | 2.45 | 2.60 |
The match-winner market is efficiently priced. Our 61.5% for Western Australia matches the market's price, so their available 1.58 sits under our fair odds of 1.63, and Tasmania's 2.45 is below our 2.60. The toss call is the more interesting angle for this game. Odds captured on 30 September 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Western Australia Women vs Tasmania Women in the Women's National Cricket League?
Our AI model predicts Western Australia to beat Tasmania with 62% probability at W.A.C.A. Ground, Perth (1 October 2026). Western Australia won the previous meeting there by 4 wickets.
What is the toss prediction for Western Australia Women vs Tasmania Women?
Our toss call for Western Australia v Tasmania in Perth is to bowl first. Western Australia won the 29 September meeting batting second, by 4 wickets.
What are the best odds for Western Australia Women vs Tasmania Women?
The available odds for Western Australia v Tasmania are 1.58 on Western Australia and 2.45 on Tasmania. Our fair odds are 1.63 and 2.60, so the match-winner market is efficiently priced.
Who won the last match between Western Australia Women and Tasmania Women?
Western Australia beat Tasmania by 4 wickets with 88 balls remaining at W.A.C.A. Ground, Perth (29 September 2026). Tasmania made 232, with Tabatha Saville scoring 79, and Beth Mooney made 117 not out as Western Australia reached 236 for 6.
Who was player of the match when Western Australia beat Tasmania?
Beth Mooney was player of the match when Western Australia beat Tasmania in September 2026. She made 117 not out off 94 balls, and Ruby Strange took 5 for 49 in the same game.
What time does Western Australia v Tasmania start?
The WNCL match between Western Australia and Tasmania starts at 2:00 pm local time in Perth (Thursday 1 October 2026), which is 11:30 am IST and 06:00 UTC. It is a 50-over day-night game.
