Gambia vs Lesotho Toss Prediction

Our toss call

Bat first 83%

We put the chance that the toss winner bats first at 83%.

ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C 2026 · 13th Match · Sunday, 25 October 2026 · 09:00 UTC (10:00 local) · 14:30 IST · Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1, Abuja

What we know about this toss

Bowl first 17% Bat first 83%
  • Captains bat first here. 18 of 29 toss winners have batted at Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1 since 2024 (62%).(points to batting first)
  • Both sides like to bat first. Gambia have batted in 3 of their last 3 tosses won; Lesotho have batted in 6 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to batting first)
  • No dew. Daytime start (10:00 local): conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
  • Forecast: 27°C · humidity 67% · clear skies.(points neither way)
  • Batting first wins here. Only 10 of 24 chasing sides have won (41.7%).(points to batting first)
  • Our call: bat first — 83%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to batting first)

Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.

Last 10 tosses at Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1

DateToss winnerChoseMatch winnerChased?
2025-12-14NigeriaBatNigeriaNo
2025-12-14Sierra LeoneFieldZambiaNo
2025-12-13ZambiaBatSierra LeoneYes
2025-12-13NigeriaBatNigeriaNo
2025-12-12RwandaBatRwandaNo
2025-12-12NigeriaBatNigeriaNo
2025-12-11NigeriaBatNigeriaNo
2025-12-11RwandaFieldZambiaNo
2025-12-09Sierra LeoneBatZambiaYes
2025-12-09NigeriaFieldRwandaNo

Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.

What each side tends to do

Gambia have chosen to field in 0 of the 3 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 3: 0 field).

Lesotho have chosen to field in 4 of the 11 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 4 field).

Does the toss matter at Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1?

In 24 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 10 (41.7%).

Start: 09:00 UTC · 10:00 local time (day match).

Forecast at the start: 27°C · humidity 67% · clear skies

Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-10-23 21:08 UTC.

How this GM vs LSO toss prediction is made

We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.

Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.

Full method, dew and captaincy context: the venue field-first method.

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GM vs LSO toss prediction FAQ

What is the GM vs LSO toss prediction?

Bat first — we put the chance that the toss winner bats first at 83%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.

Does winning the toss matter at Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1?

In 24 decided men's T20 matches at Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1 in our data, the side batting second won 10 (41.7%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.

How is this toss prediction made?

Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.

What happened at the toss?

The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.

More toss predictions

More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →

Last updated: 2026-10-23. Published 2026-10-23.

Information on this page is for educational purposes.

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