Nigeria vs Uganda Toss Prediction
Our toss call
We put the chance that the toss winner bats first at 93%.
What we know about this toss
- Captains bat first here. 18 of 29 toss winners have batted at Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1 since 2024 (62%).(points to batting first)
- Both sides like to bat first. Nigeria have batted in 8 of their last 10 tosses won; Uganda have batted in 7 of their last 10 tosses won.(points to batting first)
- No dew. Daytime start (14:00 local): conditions hold for both innings.(points to batting first)
- Forecast: 30°C · humidity 52% · clear skies.(points neither way)
- Batting first wins here. Only 10 of 24 chasing sides have won (41.7%).(points to batting first)
- Our call: bat first — 93%. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to batting first)
Cyan dots point to bowling first, violet to batting first, grey to neither.
Last 10 tosses at Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | Nigeria | Bat | Nigeria | No |
| 2025-12-14 | Sierra Leone | Field | Zambia | No |
| 2025-12-13 | Zambia | Bat | Sierra Leone | Yes |
| 2025-12-13 | Nigeria | Bat | Nigeria | No |
| 2025-12-12 | Rwanda | Bat | Rwanda | No |
| 2025-12-12 | Nigeria | Bat | Nigeria | No |
| 2025-12-11 | Nigeria | Bat | Nigeria | No |
| 2025-12-11 | Rwanda | Field | Zambia | No |
| 2025-12-09 | Sierra Leone | Bat | Zambia | Yes |
| 2025-12-09 | Nigeria | Field | Rwanda | No |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
What each side tends to do
Nigeria have chosen to field in 13 of the 52 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 2 field).
Uganda have chosen to field in 20 of the 59 tosses they won in our men's T20 data (last 11: 3 field).
Does the toss matter at Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1?
In 24 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 10 (41.7%).
Start: 13:00 UTC · 14:00 local time (day match).
Forecast at the start: 30°C · humidity 52% · clear skies
Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-10-23 21:08 UTC.
How this NGA vs UGA toss prediction is made
We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains.
Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.
Full method, dew and captaincy context: the venue pattern model.
Call today’s matches. Take on our AI.
NGA vs UGA toss prediction FAQ
What is the NGA vs UGA toss prediction?
Bat first — we put the chance that the toss winner bats first at 93%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.
Does winning the toss matter at Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1?
In 24 decided men's T20 matches at Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1 in our data, the side batting second won 10 (41.7%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.
How is this toss prediction made?
Our model learns from past T20 tosses, including the ground's toss record, both sides' toss records, this tournament's tosses, the start time and sunset, chase results and first-innings scores at the ground, whether rain hit the last game there, team strength, home advantage and knockout stakes. We make every call with the weather, the pitch and the team news in mind, including who captains. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.
What happened at the toss?
The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.
Where to bet on today's matches
- Best cricket betting apps in India: 10 apps rated, with the Android APK steps and the iPhone route
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- UPI betting sites: which bookmakers take UPI, Paytm and PhonePe
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More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →·Every toss result today: who won the toss today →
Last updated: 2026-10-23. Published 2026-10-23.