Lancashire vs Durham Toss Prediction (LAN vs DUR)

Sunday, 12 July 2026 · 20:00 IST · Emirates Old Trafford · Cricket

Last updated: 12 July 2026

Toss prediction page launched 11 July 2026. The pre-toss call summarised here was originally published in our Lancashire vs Durham match preview on 2 June 2026.

What did the toss winner choose?

✓ Decision called

Our predicted decision

bat first

From the article: "Toss: Bat first. Old Trafford has favoured the side batting first, with chases winning under half of Blast matches here, so the toss winner is likely to take first use."

What happened

Durham elected to bat

Stamped 12 Jul, 20:35 IST · live data feed

Match outcome

Lancashire won by 3 wickets (with 2 balls remaining) ✓ match-winner prediction correct

🏟️ What the toss means at Emirates Old Trafford

Toss impact: Moderate bat-first ground — chases succeed only 46% of the time here

The toss went Durham's way — they chose to bat, so Lancashire chase. In this branch our model makes Lancashire 50.7% — fair odds 1.97 (DUR 2.03) against a pre-toss baseline of 52.7%.

How we made this Lancashire vs Durham toss prediction

We do not predict who wins the coin flip itself; that is genuinely 50/50. We predict what the toss winner will choose to do. For this match, our pre-toss call was made in the article body before the toss happened. The result above shows whether the captain actually followed our predicted decision.

For the full methodology — venue toss patterns, dew, and captaincy psychology — see the venue pattern model.

Full match prediction

Beyond the toss, we publish a complete probability model for LAN vs DUR: win probability, fair odds, key matchups, and a scenario map.

Read full Lancashire vs Durham prediction →

LAN vs DUR toss prediction FAQ

Who won the LAN vs DUR toss?

Durham won the LAN vs DUR toss and chose to bat first.

What did the toss winner choose in LAN vs DUR?

Durham chose to bat first. Our pre-toss call was bat first — the captain did what we predicted.

How does the toss affect the LAN vs DUR match odds?

Meaningfully. Emirates Old Trafford favours batting first (chases succeed only 46% of the time here), so our model shifts the match win probability by about 2 percentage points depending on which side ends up chasing. A pre-toss match price averages both branches, so the toss result itself can create or kill value on the match market.

More toss predictions

All toss predictions → · Full prediction archive →