Lions vs North West - Eastvaal Renault Dragons Toss Prediction
CSA T20 Challenge 2026 · Pool A · Friday, 2 October 2026 · 16:00 UTC (18:00 local) · The Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg
Toss prediction from ground record, start time and tournament so far
What will the toss winner choose?
Bowl first · 64% field-first
Bowl first — an evening start brings dew into the second innings, and captains have chosen to field in 31 of 42 men's T20 tosses at The Wanderers Stadium (2005–2026). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 64%.
- Based on
- Ground record, start time and tournament so far
- Tosses at this ground
- 42
- Chose to field
- 73.8%
- Period
- 2005–2026
Graded automatically once the toss is published. The result is recorded on this page either way.
What we looked at
- Captains bowl first here. 31 of 42 toss winners have fielded at The Wanderers Stadium since 2005 (74%).(points to bowling first)
- No dew expected. Evening start (18:00 local) in dry air (61% humidity): conditions hold for both innings.(points neither way)
- Forecast: 16°C · humidity 61% · clear skies.(points neither way)
- Chasing wins about half the time here (21 of 42).(points neither way)
- Our call: bowl first — 64%. Weighs this ground's toss record, the start time and this tournament's tosses so far. Graded against the real toss and shown on our public ledger.(points to bowling first)
Cyan dots point to bowling first, amber to batting first, grey to neither.
Last 10 tosses at The Wanderers Stadium
| Date | Toss winner | Chose | Match winner | Chased? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | South Africa | Field | West Indies | No |
| 2024-11-15 | India | Bat | India | No |
| 2023-12-14 | South Africa | Field | India | No |
| 2023-03-28 | South Africa | Field | West Indies | No |
| 2021-04-12 | Pakistan | Bat | South Africa | Yes |
| 2021-04-10 | South Africa | Bat | Pakistan | Yes |
| 2020-02-21 | South Africa | Field | Australia | No |
| 2019-03-24 | Sri Lanka | Field | South Africa | No |
| 2019-02-03 | Pakistan | Field | South Africa | No |
| 2018-02-18 | South Africa | Field | India | No |
Men's T20 matches only, newest first, from ball-by-ball records.
What each side tends to do
Does the toss matter at The Wanderers Stadium?
In 42 decided men's T20 matches here, the side batting second won 21 (50%).
Start: 16:00 UTC · 18:00 local time (evening match).
Forecast at the start: 16°C · humidity 61% · clear skies
Weather from MET Norway (CC BY 4.0), fetched 2026-09-30 18:07 UTC.
How this LIO vs NWD toss prediction is made
We do not predict who wins the coin — that is 50/50. We predict what the winner will choose. For this match our call weighs this ground's toss record, the start time and this tournament's tosses so far.
Every call is graded against the real toss decision and shown on our public toss record.
Full method, dew and captaincy context: the venue field-first method.
LIO vs NWD toss prediction FAQ
What is the LIO vs NWD toss prediction?
Bowl first — an evening start brings dew into the second innings, and captains have chosen to field in 31 of 42 men's T20 tosses at The Wanderers Stadium (2005–2026). Our model puts the chance that the toss winner bowls first at 64%. We predict the decision, not the coin: whoever wins the toss, this is what we expect them to do.
Does winning the toss matter at The Wanderers Stadium?
In 42 decided men's T20 matches at The Wanderers Stadium in our data, the side batting second won 21 (50%). The toss sets which side gets that choice; it does not decide the match.
How is this toss prediction made?
We weigh three things: how often captains at this ground have chosen to field, what each side has chosen when it won the toss (recent seasons count most), and the start time — an evening start brings dew, which pushes captains to bowl first. The result is added after the toss and stays on this page.
What happened at the toss?
The toss has not happened yet. When it has, the result is recorded here against the call above.
More toss predictions
More toss predictions today →·This call is graded in our public toss record →
Last updated: 2026-09-30. Published 2026-09-30.
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